Language:English
Los Angeles Angels v Boston Red Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Angels (Local)
Prediction 38.77%2.58fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.441%
Kelly -0.726%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.80%38.75%40.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.342.452.452.5542.74%40.76%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Red Sox (Visit)
Prediction 61.23%1.63fair odd
EV +1.02%
Edge +0.620%
Kelly +1.57%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.36%61.20%61.25%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.561.6566.67%64.09%64.10%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 38.77%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 61.23%. For Boston Red Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -6.55%E -2.72%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV +1.02%E +0.620%K +1.57%G +0.016% | 2.1% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -1.43%E -0.886%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 01:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -1.51%E -0.596%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -2.04%E -1.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-05 01:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.04%E -1.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-04 21:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -9.27%E -3.96%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -2.04%E -1.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 20:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -1.51%E -0.596%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 01:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.90%E -0.751%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 01:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.90%E -0.751%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 01:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.90%E -0.751%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-05 01:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-04 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -5.39%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.26%E -2.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.26%E -2.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 01:12 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 01:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-04 23:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-04 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-04 23:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-04 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.72%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 12:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.29%E -0.908%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 01:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-05 01:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 01:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 01:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 01:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 01:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 01:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 01:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 01:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 01:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.78%E -2.38%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 01:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 01:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.71%E -3.71%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.71%E -3.71%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 01:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 00:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 01:13 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 01:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.72%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.49%E -3.60%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -6.94%E -4.56%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 01:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.13%E -0.441%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.55%E -5.00%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 00:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.13%E -0.441%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.16%E -5.44%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.16%E -5.44%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-05 01:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 00:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.59I 38.61%NM 38.19% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.81% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 00:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-07-05 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-07-05 01:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 01:30 |