L’École des cotes

Los Angeles Angels v Boston Red Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-05 01:39 UTC

Score final : Los Angeles Angels 1–8 Boston Red Sox

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prévision 38.77%2.58cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.441%
Kelly -0.726%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.04%38.80%38.75%40.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.342.452.452.5542.74%40.76%40.82%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boston Red Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.23%1.63cote équitable
EV +1.02%
Avantage +0.620%
Kelly +1.57%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.36%61.20%61.25%62.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.561.561.6566.67%64.09%64.10%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -6.55%E -2.72%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV +1.02%E +0.620%K +1.57%G +0.016%2.1%2026-07-04 20:05
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -1.43%E -0.886%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 01:10
Pinnacle2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -1.51%E -0.596%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -2.04%E -1.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-05 01:10
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.04%E -1.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 21:30
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -9.27%E -3.96%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -2.04%E -1.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 20:00
GTbets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -1.51%E -0.596%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 01:10
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.90%E -0.751%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 01:10
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.90%E -0.751%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 01:10
BetAnything2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.90%E -0.751%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 01:25
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-05 01:10
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 23:40
FanDuel2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -5.39%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.26%E -2.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 01:15
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.26%E -2.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 22:10
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 01:15
ReBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 01:12
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 01:25
MyBookie.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 01:14
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 23:40
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 23:40
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 01:15
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:10
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.72%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 12:50
Caesars2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.29%E -0.908%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 01:14
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 01:35
DraftKings2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 01:10
Bovada2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 01:35
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 01:25
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 01:25
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 01:35
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 01:34
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 01:20
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 01:20
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 01:20
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 01:20
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 01:20
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 01:20
SportsBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.78%E -2.38%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:15
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 01:15
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 01:15
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:35
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:20
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:25
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:25
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:25
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:25
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 01:25
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.71%E -3.71%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 01:15
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.71%E -3.71%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 01:15
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 01:35
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 01:30
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 01:35
Dabble (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 00:25
Betway2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 01:35
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 01:13
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 01:20
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.72%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 23:10
Betclic (FR)2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.49%E -3.60%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -6.94%E -4.56%K -13.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 01:14
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.13%E -0.441%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.55%E -5.00%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 00:00
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.13%E -0.441%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.16%E -5.44%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 01:15
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.16%E -5.44%K -16.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 01:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-07-05 01:35
Novig2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%0.5%2026-07-05 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-07-05 01:35
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-07-05 00:35
Polymarket2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-07-04 23:40
BetOpenly2.59I 38.61%NM 38.19%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.81%1.1%2026-07-05 00:00
ProphetX2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-07-05 01:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-07-05 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-07-05 01:30
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.2%2026-07-05 01:30