La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -6.55%E -2.72%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV +1.02%E +0.620%K +1.57%G +0.016% | 2.1% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| Everygame | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -1.43%E -0.886%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 01:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -1.51%E -0.596%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -2.04%E -1.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-05 01:10 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.04%E -1.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-04 21:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -9.27%E -3.96%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -2.04%E -1.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 20:00 |
| GTbets | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -1.51%E -0.596%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 01:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.90%E -0.751%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 01:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.90%E -0.751%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 01:10 |
| BetAnything | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.90%E -0.751%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-05 01:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-04 23:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -5.39%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.26%E -2.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.26%E -2.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| ReBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 01:12 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 01:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-04 23:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-04 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-04 23:40 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-04 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 23:10 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.72%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 12:50 |
| Caesars | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.29%E -0.908%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 01:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-05 01:10 |
| Bovada | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 01:34 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 01:20 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 01:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 01:20 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 01:20 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 01:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 01:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 01:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.78%E -2.38%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 01:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 01:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 01:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.71%E -3.71%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.71%E -3.71%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 01:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 00:25 |
| Betway | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 01:13 |
| Grosvenor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 01:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.72%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.49%E -3.60%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -6.94%E -4.56%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 01:14 |
| Fliff | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.13%E -0.441%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.55%E -5.00%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 00:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.13%E -0.441%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.16%E -5.44%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.16%E -5.44%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-05 01:29 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| Novig | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| Kalshi | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 00:35 |
| Polymarket | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 23:40 |
| BetOpenly | 2.59I 38.61%NM 38.19% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.81% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 00:00 |
| ProphetX | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-07-05 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-07-05 01:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 01:30 |