La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Angels v Boston Red Sox

Inicio: 2026-07-05 01:39 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 1–8 Boston Red Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Predicción 38.77%2.58momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.441%
Kelly -0.726%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.04%38.80%38.75%40.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.342.452.452.5542.74%40.76%40.82%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 61.23%1.63momio equitativo
EV +1.02%
Ventaja +0.620%
Kelly +1.57%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.36%61.20%61.25%62.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.561.561.6566.67%64.09%64.10%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -6.55%E -2.72%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV +1.02%E +0.620%K +1.57%G +0.016%2.1%2026-07-04 20:05
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -1.43%E -0.886%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 01:10
Pinnacle2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -1.51%E -0.596%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -2.04%E -1.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-05 01:10
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.04%E -1.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 21:30
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -9.27%E -3.96%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -2.04%E -1.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 20:00
GTbets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -1.51%E -0.596%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 01:10
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.90%E -0.751%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 01:10
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.90%E -0.751%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 01:10
BetAnything2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.90%E -0.751%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 01:25
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-05 01:10
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 23:40
FanDuel2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -5.39%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.26%E -2.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 01:15
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.26%E -2.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 22:10
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 01:15
ReBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 01:12
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 01:25
MyBookie.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 01:14
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 23:40
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 23:40
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 01:15
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:10
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.72%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 12:50
Caesars2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.29%E -0.908%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 01:14
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 01:35
DraftKings2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 01:10
Bovada2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 01:35
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 01:25
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 01:25
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 01:35
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 01:34
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 01:20
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 01:20
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 01:20
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 01:20
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 01:20
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 01:20
SportsBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.78%E -2.38%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:15
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 01:15
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 01:15
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:35
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:20
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:25
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:25
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:25
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:25
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 01:25
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.71%E -3.71%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 01:15
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.71%E -3.71%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 01:15
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 01:35
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 01:30
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 01:35
Dabble (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 00:25
Betway2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 01:35
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 01:13
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 01:20
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.72%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 23:10
Betclic (FR)2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.49%E -3.60%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -6.94%E -4.56%K -13.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 01:14
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.13%E -0.441%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.55%E -5.00%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 00:00
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.13%E -0.441%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.16%E -5.44%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 01:15
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.16%E -5.44%K -16.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 01:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-07-05 01:35
Novig2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%0.5%2026-07-05 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-07-05 01:35
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-07-05 00:35
Polymarket2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-07-04 23:40
BetOpenly2.59I 38.61%NM 38.19%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.81%1.1%2026-07-05 00:00
ProphetX2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-07-05 01:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-07-05 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-07-05 01:30
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.2%2026-07-05 01:30