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Kansas City Royals v Texas Rangers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 51.01%1.96fair odd
EV -0.028%
Edge -0.014%
Kelly -0.029%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%51.19%50.92%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.861.851.9657.47%53.78%54.05%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Texas Rangers (Visit)
Prediction 48.99%2.04fair odd
EV +0.437%
Edge +0.213%
Kelly +0.417%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%48.81%49.08%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.961.962.0553.48%51.01%51.02%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 51.01%; Texas Rangers (Visit): 48.99%. For Texas Rangers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.437%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.437%E +0.213%K +0.417%G +0.002% | 2.3% | 2026-06-11 20:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.25%E -6.47%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.437%E +0.213%K +0.417%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-06-11 20:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -0.053%E -0.026%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-11 16:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.03%E -0.511%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-11 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.03%E -0.511%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-11 15:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-11 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-11 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-11 16:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-11 15:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-11 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-11 15:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-11 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-11 15:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.56%E -0.807%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-11 20:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.13%E -2.76%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.99%E -1.51%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-11 19:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.99%E -1.51%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-11 20:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.56%E -0.807%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-11 20:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.56%E -0.807%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-11 20:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.56%E -0.807%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-11 20:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.68%E -4.24%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-11 20:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.68%E -4.24%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-11 20:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.05%E -0.540%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.97%E -2.03%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-11 20:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.97%E -2.03%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-11 19:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -3.97%E -2.03%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-11 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 20:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-11 20:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-11 20:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-11 17:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -0.028%E -0.014%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-11 20:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.11%E -2.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 20:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.11%E -2.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 20:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-11 20:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-11 20:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-11 20:18 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -9.72%E -5.49%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-11 20:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-11 19:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.35%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 20:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-11 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-11 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-11 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-11 19:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-11 19:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-11 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-11 20:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-11 20:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.538%E -0.276%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.38%E -4.48%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 19:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-06-11 20:17 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-06-11 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-06-11 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-06-11 19:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61% | 5.0% | 2026-06-11 20:30 |