L’École des cotes

Kansas City Royals v Texas Rangers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-11 20:31 UTC

Score final : Kansas City Royals 2–4 Texas Rangers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prévision 51.01%1.96cote équitable
EV -0.028%
Avantage -0.014%
Kelly -0.029%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.95%51.19%50.92%54.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.741.861.851.9657.47%53.78%54.05%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Texas Rangers (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.99%2.04cote équitable
EV +0.437%
Avantage +0.213%
Kelly +0.417%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.91%48.81%49.08%51.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.871.961.962.0553.48%51.01%51.02%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.437%E +0.213%K +0.417%G +0.002%2.3%2026-06-11 20:20
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.25%E -6.47%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.437%E +0.213%K +0.417%G +0.002%6.3%2026-06-11 20:30
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -0.053%E -0.026%K -0.051%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-11 16:09
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.03%E -0.511%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 16:00
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.03%E -0.511%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 15:59
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 16:10
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 16:09
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 15:59
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 16:10
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 15:59
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 16:10
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 15:59
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.56%E -0.807%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-11 20:29
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.13%E -2.76%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.99%E -1.51%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 19:40
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.99%E -1.51%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 20:30
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.56%E -0.807%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-11 20:30
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.56%E -0.807%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-11 20:30
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.56%E -0.807%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-11 20:29
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.68%E -4.24%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-11 20:30
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.68%E -4.24%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-11 20:30
BetUS1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.05%E -0.540%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.97%E -2.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-11 20:29
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.97%E -2.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 19:40
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -3.97%E -2.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-11 16:10
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 20:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 20:20
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 20:20
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 17:20
BetAnything1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -0.028%E -0.014%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-11 20:00
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.11%E -2.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 20:19
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.11%E -2.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 20:20
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 20:19
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 20:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 20:18
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -9.72%E -5.49%K -12.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-11 20:30
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-11 19:20
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.35%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 20:09
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-11 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-11 18:19
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-11 18:19
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-11 19:40
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 19:20
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 19:20
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 20:30
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-11 20:30
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.538%E -0.276%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.38%E -4.48%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 19:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-06-11 20:17
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-11 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-11 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-11 19:50
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%5.0%2026-06-11 20:30