A Escola das Odds

Kansas City Royals v Texas Rangers

Início: 2026-06-11 20:31 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 2–4 Texas Rangers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Previsão 51.01%1.96odd justa
EV -0.028%
Vantagem -0.014%
Kelly -0.029%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.95%51.19%50.92%54.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.741.861.851.9657.47%53.78%54.05%51.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Previsão 48.99%2.04odd justa
EV +0.437%
Vantagem +0.213%
Kelly +0.417%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.91%48.81%49.08%51.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.871.961.962.0553.48%51.01%51.02%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.437%E +0.213%K +0.417%G +0.002%2.3%2026-06-11 20:20
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.25%E -6.47%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.437%E +0.213%K +0.417%G +0.002%6.3%2026-06-11 20:30
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -0.053%E -0.026%K -0.051%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-11 16:09
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.03%E -0.511%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 16:00
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.03%E -0.511%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 15:59
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 16:10
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 16:09
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 15:59
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 16:10
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 15:59
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 16:10
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 15:59
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.56%E -0.807%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-11 20:29
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.13%E -2.76%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.99%E -1.51%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 19:40
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.99%E -1.51%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 20:30
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.56%E -0.807%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-11 20:30
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.56%E -0.807%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-11 20:30
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.56%E -0.807%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-11 20:29
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.68%E -4.24%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-11 20:30
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.68%E -4.24%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-11 20:30
BetUS1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.05%E -0.540%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.97%E -2.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-11 20:29
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.97%E -2.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 19:40
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -3.97%E -2.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-11 16:10
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 20:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 20:20
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 20:20
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 17:20
BetAnything1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -0.028%E -0.014%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-11 20:00
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.11%E -2.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 20:19
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.11%E -2.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 20:20
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 20:19
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 20:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 20:18
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -9.72%E -5.49%K -12.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-11 20:30
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-11 19:20
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.35%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 20:09
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-11 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-11 18:19
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-11 18:19
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-11 19:40
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 19:20
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 19:20
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 20:30
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-11 20:30
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.538%E -0.276%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.38%E -4.48%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 19:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-06-11 20:17
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-11 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-11 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-11 19:50
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%5.0%2026-06-11 20:30