Kansas City Royals v San Diego Padres

2026-07-19 18:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

54%

46%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prediction 53.54%1.87fair odd

EV -0.947%

Edge -0.512%

Kelly -1.11%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.63%53.61%53.52%55.01%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.711.781.771.8558%56%56%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

San Diego Padres (Visit)

Prediction 46.46%2.15fair odd

EV -0.580%

Edge -0.271%

Kelly -0.509%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.99%46.39%46.48%47.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.972.062.052.1451%49%49%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
GTbets	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -0.947%E -0.512%K -1.11%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -3.37%E -1.62%K -3.12%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-07-18 18:20
BetUS	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -0.947%E -0.512%K -1.11%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -3.37%E -1.62%K -3.12%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-07-18 21:00
LowVig.ag	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.947%E -0.512%K -1.11%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.83%E -1.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-07-18 18:20
BetOnline.ag	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.947%E -0.512%K -1.11%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.83%E -1.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-07-18 18:20
1xBet	1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.55%E -1.40%K -3.11%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.04%E -0.490%K -0.925%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-07-18 21:30
Betway	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.62%E -2.01%K -4.53%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-18 19:25
Caesars	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.62%E -2.01%K -4.53%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-18 19:24
Fanatics	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.62%E -2.01%K -4.53%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-18 21:20
DraftKings	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.62%E -2.01%K -4.53%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.23%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-18 19:25
PlayUp	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.62%E -2.01%K -4.53%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.16%E -3.05%K -6.03%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-18 19:25
William Hill	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.62%E -2.01%K -4.53%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-18 21:30
MyBookie.ag	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.16%E -2.32%K -5.27%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.37%E -1.62%K -3.12%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-18 20:30
Betsson	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.16%E -2.32%K -5.27%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.16%E -3.05%K -6.03%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-18 19:35
NordicBet	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.16%E -2.32%K -5.27%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.16%E -3.05%K -6.03%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-18 19:36
Unibet (UK)	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-18 19:25
PointsBet (AU)	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.44%E -1.16%K -2.22%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-18 21:30
Hard Rock Bet	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.44%E -1.16%K -2.22%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-18 19:25
Bet Right	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.30%E -2.09%K -4.05%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-18 19:25
Fliff	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-18 17:45
ReBet	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-18 19:25
Betr (AU)	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-18 19:25
Winamax (DE)	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-18 19:24
Betclic (FR)	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.23%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-18 21:04
FanDuel	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.40%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -0.580%E -0.271%K -0.509%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-18 17:35
Bet Victor	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.40%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-18 19:23
888sport	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.40%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-18 18:20
betano_uk	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.40%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-18 19:24
Mr Green (SE)	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.40%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-18 18:20
888sport (SE)	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.40%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-18 18:20
Marathon Bet	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -7.37%E -4.26%K -10.10%G +0.000%	2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -1.97%E -0.935%K -1.78%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-18 20:24
Paddy Power	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.37%E -4.26%K -10.10%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.44%E -1.16%K -2.22%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-18 17:40
SportsBet	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.91%E -4.60%K -10.98%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.44%E -1.16%K -2.22%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-18 17:35
Winamax (FR)	1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.91%E -4.60%K -10.98%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -8.01%E -4.05%K -8.18%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-07-18 19:25
Unibet (FR)	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -8.44%E -4.94%K -11.89%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -8.48%E -4.30%K -8.74%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-07-18 20:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%	2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%	0.1%	2026-07-18 18:05
Polymarket	1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%	1.0%	2026-07-18 20:35
Novig	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%	2.4%	2026-07-18 21:25
Matchbook	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%	5.4%	2026-07-18 21:30
Smarkets	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%	1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%	9.2%	2026-07-18 21:30