L’École des cotes

Kansas City Royals v San Diego Padres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-19 18:11 UTC

Score final : Kansas City Royals 2–19 San Diego Padres

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prévision 51.39%1.95cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -0.965%
Kelly -2.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.40%51.37%51.41%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.861.851.9155.56%53.90%54.05%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Diego Padres (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.61%2.06cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.652%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.37%48.63%48.59%49.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.901.961.962.0352.63%50.94%51.02%49.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -1.84%E -0.965%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -1.81%E -0.896%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-19 18:05
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.84%E -0.965%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.30%E -1.14%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 16:25
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.84%E -0.965%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 17:59
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.30%E -1.14%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 17:45
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.30%E -1.14%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 17:45
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.30%E -1.14%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 17:45
BetAnything1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -3.27%E -1.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-19 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 14:55
Everygame1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -2.87%E -1.52%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -1.32%E -0.652%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-19 16:35
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-19 15:25
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-19 15:25
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 17:45
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 15:04
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 15:50
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.75%E -1.90%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 16:15
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 17:55
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 18:10
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:20
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 17:09
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 16:45
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.70%E -2.94%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.70%E -2.94%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 16:45
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.64%E -4.02%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 17:15
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.41%E -2.37%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.75%E -1.90%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 15:15
Bovada1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.41%E -2.37%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.73%E -2.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 18:00
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 17:15
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 17:15
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:25
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 17:15
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:25
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 17:14
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 17:15
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 17:14
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.73%E -2.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:15
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.73%E -2.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:35
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 18:09
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 17:55
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 17:54
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 17:09
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 16:45
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 17:50
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.16%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 15:35
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.16%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 15:35
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.16%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 15:35
Betr (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.44%E -2.96%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:35
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.44%E -2.96%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 17:15
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.44%E -2.96%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 17:15
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.44%E -2.96%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.73%E -2.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 15:20
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 15:00
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 14:55
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 15:00
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.73%E -2.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-19 17:15
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 18:10
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 15:00
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.70%E -2.94%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 18:00
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.16%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 15:44
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.47%E -3.55%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.70%E -2.94%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 15:05
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -6.98%E -3.86%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.18%E -3.20%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 15:25
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 15:40
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.16%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 17:45
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.64%E -4.02%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 18:08
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.64%E -4.02%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 18:08
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-07-19 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-07-19 18:10
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-07-19 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-07-19 17:40
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-19 14:55
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-19 16:25
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-07-19 18:10
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%2.1%2026-07-19 18:10
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%3.5%2026-07-19 17:50
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%3.6%2026-07-19 18:10