La scuola delle quote

Kansas City Royals v San Diego Padres

Inizio: 2026-07-19 18:11 UTC

Finale: Kansas City Royals 2–19 San Diego Padres

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Kansas City Royals (Casa)

Previsione 51.39%1.95quota equa
EV -1.84%
Vantaggio -0.965%
Kelly -2.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.40%51.37%51.41%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.861.851.9155.56%53.90%54.05%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Diego Padres (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.61%2.06quota equa
EV -1.32%
Vantaggio -0.652%
Kelly -1.28%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.37%48.63%48.59%49.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.901.961.962.0352.63%50.94%51.02%49.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -1.84%E -0.965%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -1.81%E -0.896%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-19 18:05
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.84%E -0.965%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.30%E -1.14%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 16:25
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.84%E -0.965%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 17:59
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.30%E -1.14%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 17:45
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.30%E -1.14%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 17:45
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.30%E -1.14%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 17:45
BetAnything1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -3.27%E -1.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-19 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 14:55
Everygame1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -2.87%E -1.52%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -1.32%E -0.652%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-19 16:35
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-19 15:25
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-19 15:25
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 17:45
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 15:04
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 15:50
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.75%E -1.90%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 16:15
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 17:55
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 18:10
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:20
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 17:09
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 16:45
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.70%E -2.94%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.70%E -2.94%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 16:45
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.90%E -2.09%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.64%E -4.02%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 17:15
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.41%E -2.37%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.75%E -1.90%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 15:15
Bovada1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.41%E -2.37%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.73%E -2.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 18:00
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 17:15
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 17:15
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:25
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 17:15
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:25
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 17:14
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 17:15
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 17:14
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.73%E -2.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:15
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.73%E -2.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:35
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 18:09
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 17:55
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 17:54
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 17:09
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 16:45
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 17:50
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.16%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 15:35
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.16%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 15:35
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.16%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 15:35
Betr (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.44%E -2.96%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:35
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.44%E -2.96%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 17:15
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.44%E -2.96%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.24%E -2.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 17:15
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.44%E -2.96%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.73%E -2.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 15:20
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 15:00
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 14:55
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 15:00
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.73%E -2.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-19 17:15
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 18:10
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.21%E -2.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 15:00
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.70%E -2.94%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 18:00
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.16%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 15:44
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.47%E -3.55%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.70%E -2.94%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 15:05
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -6.98%E -3.86%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.18%E -3.20%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 15:25
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 15:40
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.16%E -3.75%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 17:45
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.64%E -4.02%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 18:08
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.64%E -4.02%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 18:08
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-07-19 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-07-19 18:10
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-07-19 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-07-19 17:40
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-19 14:55
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-19 16:25
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-07-19 18:10
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%2.1%2026-07-19 18:10
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%3.5%2026-07-19 17:50
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%3.6%2026-07-19 18:10