The School of Odds

Kansas City Royals v Philadelphia Phillies

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 19:01 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 5–2 Philadelphia Phillies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prediction 45.21%2.21fair odd
EV +0.809%
Edge +0.363%
Kelly +0.658%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%45.29%45.18%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.002.112.132.23100%47%47%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

Prediction 54.79%1.83fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.761%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%54.71%54.82%56.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.001.721.731.80100%58%58%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV +0.809%E +0.363%K +0.658%G +0.005%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -5.75%E -3.35%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-05 17:15
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -0.547%E -0.249%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.56%E -2.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 18:50
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.547%E -0.249%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.30%E -3.69%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 17:15
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.547%E -0.249%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.30%E -3.69%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 17:15
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.547%E -0.249%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.85%E -4.03%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 18:55
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.547%E -0.249%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.95%E -4.73%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 19:00
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.547%E -0.249%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.49%E -5.09%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:25
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.45%E -0.666%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.47%E -1.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.45%E -0.666%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.85%E -4.03%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 17:15
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.45%E -0.666%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.85%E -4.03%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 17:15
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.45%E -0.666%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.85%E -4.03%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 17:15
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.45%E -0.666%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.85%E -4.03%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 17:15
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.45%E -0.666%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.85%E -4.03%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 17:14
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.45%E -0.666%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.85%E -4.03%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 17:15
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.45%E -0.666%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.95%E -4.73%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 18:59
Everygame2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.90%E -0.877%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.92%E -1.07%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-05 17:25
BetAnything2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.90%E -0.877%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.47%E -1.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 18:55
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.90%E -0.877%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.95%E -4.73%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 17:14
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.90%E -0.877%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.95%E -4.73%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 17:14
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.90%E -0.877%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.95%E -4.73%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 17:15
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.90%E -0.877%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.95%E -4.73%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 17:15
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.36%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.37%E -0.761%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-05 16:39
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.36%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.92%E -1.07%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-05 18:45
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.36%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.47%E -1.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 18:25
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.36%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.47%E -1.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 18:20
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.81%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.66%E -2.68%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 21:25
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.81%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.66%E -2.68%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 16:25
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.81%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.66%E -2.68%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 17:23
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.81%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.66%E -2.68%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 12:09
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.81%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.30%E -3.69%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 23:54
MyBookie.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.26%E -1.52%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.11%E -2.35%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 16:50
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -3.26%E -1.52%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -9.04%E -5.45%K -13.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 17:14
Bovada2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.71%E -1.74%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.66%E -2.68%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 18:04
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.16%E -1.96%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.56%E -2.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 16:40
Bet Right2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.16%E -1.96%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.21%E -3.01%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:30
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.16%E -1.96%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.21%E -3.01%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:45
DraftKings2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.16%E -1.96%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.95%E -4.73%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 19:00
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.07%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.01%E -1.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.07%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.11%E -2.35%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 17:24
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.07%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.11%E -2.35%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 17:25
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.07%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.11%E -2.35%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.07%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.11%E -2.35%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 17:25
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.07%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.11%E -2.35%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.07%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.11%E -2.35%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 05:00
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.07%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.66%E -2.68%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 17:25
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.07%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.21%E -3.01%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 17:25
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.07%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.21%E -3.01%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 17:25
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.07%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.21%E -3.01%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 17:25
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.07%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.21%E -3.01%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 17:25
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.07%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.21%E -3.01%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:09
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.07%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.21%E -3.01%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 16:24
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.07%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.30%E -3.69%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 18:50
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.07%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.85%E -4.03%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 16:45
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.97%E -2.87%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.11%E -2.35%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 18:59
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.97%E -2.87%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.66%E -2.68%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 16:40
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -6.42%E -3.10%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -1.37%E -0.761%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 19:00
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.33%E -3.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.56%E -2.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 19:00
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.33%E -3.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.66%E -2.68%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 18:59
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.33%E -3.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.21%E -3.01%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 16:40
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.33%E -3.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.75%E -3.35%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 19:00
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.33%E -3.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.40%E -4.38%K -10.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 18:33
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -9.59%E -4.79%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -3.56%E -2.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 19:00
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.59%E -4.79%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.11%E -2.35%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 18:54
Betsson1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -54.79%E -54.79%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -45.21%E -45.21%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-07-05 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-07-05 19:00
BetOpenly2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-07-05 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-07-05 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-07-05 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-07-05 19:00
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-07-05 17:30
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-07-05 19:00
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-07-05 19:00
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-07-05 19:00
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%2.8%2026-07-05 19:00