The School of Odds

Kansas City Royals v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-07-05 19:01 — MLB

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis)

Option 1: Kansas City Royals (Local)

2.1047.62%Min
2.1845.84%Mean
2.1845.87%Median
2.2544.44%Max
42.75%2.339Min
45.45%2.200Max
44.02%2.272Mean
43.97%2.274Median
44.05%2.270IQM
44.04%2.271Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.25 under the IQM model: 44.05%

EV -0.889%Edge -0.395%Kelly -0.711%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

1.6460.98%Min
1.7058.81%Mean
1.7058.82%Median
1.7656.82%Max
54.55%1.833Min
57.25%1.747Max
55.98%1.786Mean
56.03%1.785Median
55.95%1.787IQM
55.96%1.787Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.76 under the IQM model: 55.95%

EV -1.53%Edge -0.868%Kelly -2.01%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

BookmakerKansas City Royals (Local) ▼Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)MarginUpdated
GTbets2.25I 44.44% NM 43.61%EV -0.889% E -0.395% K -0.711% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 56.39%EV -2.65% E -1.52% K -3.58% G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-04 21:40
Everygame2.25I 44.44% NM 43.61%EV -0.889% E -0.395% K -0.711% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 56.39%EV -2.65% E -1.52% K -3.58% G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-05 05:25
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44% NM 42.75%EV -0.889% E -0.395% K -0.711% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 57.25%EV -6.00% E -3.57% K -8.83% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 11:49
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44% NM 42.75%EV -0.889% E -0.395% K -0.711% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 57.25%EV -6.00% E -3.57% K -8.83% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 11:50
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44% NM 42.75%EV -0.889% E -0.395% K -0.711% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 57.25%EV -6.00% E -3.57% K -8.83% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 11:49
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84% NM 43.97%EV -1.77% E -0.794% K -1.44% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 56.03%EV -2.09% E -1.19% K -2.78% G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84% NM 42.82%EV -1.77% E -0.794% K -1.44% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 57.18%EV -6.56% E -3.93% K -9.79% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 11:49
Casumo2.23I 44.84% NM 42.82%EV -1.77% E -0.794% K -1.44% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 57.18%EV -6.56% E -3.93% K -9.79% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 11:49
Unibet2.23I 44.84% NM 42.82%EV -1.77% E -0.794% K -1.44% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 57.18%EV -6.56% E -3.93% K -9.79% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 11:55
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84% NM 42.82%EV -1.77% E -0.794% K -1.44% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 57.18%EV -6.56% E -3.93% K -9.79% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 11:49
betPARX2.23I 44.84% NM 42.82%EV -1.77% E -0.794% K -1.44% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 57.18%EV -6.56% E -3.93% K -9.79% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 11:55
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84% NM 42.82%EV -1.77% E -0.794% K -1.44% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 57.18%EV -6.56% E -3.93% K -9.79% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 11:55
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05% NM 43.94%EV -2.21% E -0.996% K -1.81% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 56.06%EV -2.65% E -1.52% K -3.58% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 21:40
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05% NM 43.94%EV -2.21% E -0.996% K -1.81% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 56.06%EV -2.65% E -1.52% K -3.58% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 21:40
BetUS2.22I 45.05% NM 43.94%EV -2.21% E -0.996% K -1.81% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 56.06%EV -2.65% E -1.52% K -3.58% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 00:15
BetAnything2.22I 45.05% NM 43.94%EV -2.21% E -0.996% K -1.81% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 56.06%EV -2.65% E -1.52% K -3.58% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 12:55
1xBet2.21I 45.25% NM 44.33%EV -2.65% E -1.20% K -2.19% G +0.000%1.76I 56.82% NM 55.67%EV -1.53% E -0.868% K -2.01% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 12:34
ReBet2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -3.09% E -1.41% K -2.58% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -4.32% E -2.53% K -6.09% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 13:05
Betway2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -3.09% E -1.41% K -2.58% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -4.32% E -2.53% K -6.09% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 12:30
Coral2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -3.09% E -1.41% K -2.58% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -4.88% E -2.87% K -6.98% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 12:28
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -3.09% E -1.41% K -2.58% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -4.88% E -2.87% K -6.98% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 12:29
TAB2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -3.09% E -1.41% K -2.58% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -4.88% E -2.87% K -6.98% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 12:35
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -3.09% E -1.41% K -2.58% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -6.00% E -3.57% K -8.83% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 13:45
Fliff2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -3.09% E -1.41% K -2.58% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -6.56% E -3.93% K -9.79% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 07:55
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45% NM 43.01%EV -3.09% E -1.41% K -2.58% G +0.000%1.66I 60.24% NM 56.99%EV -7.12% E -4.29% K -10.79% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 12:44
BetRivers2.20I 45.45% NM 43.01%EV -3.09% E -1.41% K -2.58% G +0.000%1.66I 60.24% NM 56.99%EV -7.12% E -4.29% K -10.79% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 12:45
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45% NM 43.01%EV -3.09% E -1.41% K -2.58% G +0.000%1.66I 60.24% NM 56.99%EV -7.12% E -4.29% K -10.79% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 12:45
TABtouch2.20I 45.45% NM 43.01%EV -3.09% E -1.41% K -2.58% G +0.000%1.66I 60.24% NM 56.99%EV -7.12% E -4.29% K -10.79% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 12:45
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -3.09% E -1.41% K -2.58% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -7.68% E -4.66% K -11.82% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 05:35
DraftKings2.19I 45.66% NM 43.70%EV -3.53% E -1.61% K -2.97% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 56.30%EV -4.88% E -2.87% K -6.98% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 12:28
MyBookie.ag2.18I 45.87% NM 44.10%EV -3.97% E -1.82% K -3.37% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 55.90%EV -3.76% E -2.19% K -5.23% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 12:35
Caesars2.18I 45.87% NM 43.96%EV -3.97% E -1.82% K -3.37% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 56.04%EV -4.32% E -2.53% K -6.09% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 00:29
BetMGM2.18I 45.87% NM 43.67%EV -3.97% E -1.82% K -3.37% G +0.000%1.69I 59.17% NM 56.33%EV -5.44% E -3.22% K -7.89% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 12:30
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87% NM 42.93%EV -3.97% E -1.82% K -3.37% G +0.000%1.64I 60.98% NM 57.07%EV -8.24% E -5.02% K -12.88% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 11:49
Bovada2.17I 46.08% NM 44.07%EV -4.41% E -2.03% K -3.77% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.93%EV -4.32% E -2.53% K -6.09% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 13:30
FanDuel2.16I 46.30% NM 44.62%EV -4.85% E -2.25% K -4.18% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 55.38%EV -2.65% E -1.52% K -3.58% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 21:20
NordicBet2.16I 46.30% NM 43.90%EV -4.85% E -2.25% K -4.18% G +0.000%1.69I 59.17% NM 56.10%EV -5.44% E -3.22% K -7.89% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
Betsson2.16I 46.30% NM 43.90%EV -4.85% E -2.25% K -4.18% G +0.000%1.69I 59.17% NM 56.10%EV -5.44% E -3.22% K -7.89% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -5.29% E -2.46% K -4.60% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -2.65% E -1.52% K -3.58% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 21:25
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -5.29% E -2.46% K -4.60% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -2.65% E -1.52% K -3.58% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 12:09
Fanatics2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -5.29% E -2.46% K -4.60% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -4.32% E -2.53% K -6.09% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:25
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -5.29% E -2.46% K -4.60% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -4.32% E -2.53% K -6.09% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 12:29
888sport2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -5.29% E -2.46% K -4.60% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -4.32% E -2.53% K -6.09% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:25
Bet Right2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -5.29% E -2.46% K -4.60% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -4.32% E -2.53% K -6.09% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 12:30
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -5.29% E -2.46% K -4.60% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -4.32% E -2.53% K -6.09% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:25
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -5.29% E -2.46% K -4.60% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -4.32% E -2.53% K -6.09% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:25
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -5.29% E -2.46% K -4.60% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -4.32% E -2.53% K -6.09% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 23:54
Coolbet2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -5.29% E -2.46% K -4.60% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -4.32% E -2.53% K -6.09% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 05:45
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -5.29% E -2.46% K -4.60% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -4.88% E -2.87% K -6.98% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:05
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -5.29% E -2.46% K -4.60% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -4.88% E -2.87% K -6.98% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:30
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -5.29% E -2.46% K -4.60% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -4.88% E -2.87% K -6.98% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:30
PlayUp2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -5.29% E -2.46% K -4.60% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -4.88% E -2.87% K -6.98% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -5.29% E -2.46% K -4.60% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -4.88% E -2.87% K -6.98% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:30
Neds2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -5.29% E -2.46% K -4.60% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -4.88% E -2.87% K -6.98% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:29
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -5.29% E -2.46% K -4.60% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -4.88% E -2.87% K -6.98% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:29
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51% NM 44.01%EV -5.29% E -2.46% K -4.60% G +0.000%1.69I 59.17% NM 55.99%EV -5.44% E -3.22% K -7.89% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 13:09
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -5.29% E -2.46% K -4.60% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -6.56% E -3.93% K -9.79% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 12:29
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -5.29% E -2.46% K -4.60% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -6.56% E -3.93% K -9.79% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 12:28
SportsBet2.14I 46.73% NM 44.42%EV -5.73% E -2.68% K -5.03% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.58%EV -4.32% E -2.53% K -6.09% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 07:04
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73% NM 44.42%EV -5.73% E -2.68% K -5.03% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.58%EV -4.32% E -2.53% K -6.09% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 12:29
Betclic (FR)2.14I 46.73% NM 44.13%EV -5.73% E -2.68% K -5.03% G +0.000%1.69I 59.17% NM 55.87%EV -5.44% E -3.22% K -7.89% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -7.50% E -3.57% K -6.81% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -2.09% E -1.19% K -2.78% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 05:00
William Hill2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -7.50% E -3.57% K -6.81% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -3.21% E -1.85% K -4.39% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:09
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62% NM 44.44%EV -7.50% E -3.57% K -6.81% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 55.56%EV -6.00% E -3.57% K -8.83% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 12:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerKansas City Royals (Local)Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%1.78I 56.18%0.0%2026-07-05 13:29
Novig2.27I 44.05%1.77I 56.50%0.6%2026-07-05 14:05
ProphetX2.26I 44.25%1.77I 56.50%0.7%2026-07-05 14:10
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%1.79I 55.87%0.9%2026-07-05 07:25
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%1.76I 56.82%1.1%2026-07-05 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%1.76I 56.82%1.1%2026-07-05 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%1.76I 56.82%1.1%2026-07-05 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%1.76I 56.82%1.1%2026-07-05 13:45
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%1.75I 57.14%1.2%2026-07-05 05:00
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%1.74I 57.47%2.1%2026-07-05 13:35