Language:English
Kansas City Royals v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 50.43%1.98fair odd
EV -0.148%
Edge -0.075%
Kelly -0.151%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.43%50.45%54.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.891.891.9857.14%52.94%52.91%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 49.57%2.02fair odd
EV +3.10%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +2.87%
Growth +0.089%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.69%49.57%49.55%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.921.922.0854.35%51.95%52.08%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 50.43%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 49.57%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -11.75%E -6.71%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +3.10%E +1.49%K +2.87%G +0.089% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV +1.62%E +0.789%K +1.54%G +0.025% | 2.0% | 2026-09-01 17:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.861%E -0.430%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-01 21:33 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.67%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.36%E -0.682%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-01 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -1.85%E -0.935%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 23:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.67%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.35%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-01 21:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -4.69%E -2.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -2.35%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -4.69%E -2.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -2.35%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.66%E -0.852%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 23:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.16%E -0.590%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-01 23:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.16%E -0.590%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 23:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -7.21%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.148%E -0.075%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.148%E -0.075%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.148%E -0.075%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-01 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.67%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 18:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -2.67%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.65%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.69%E -2.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 23:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.21%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.21%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -8.22%E -4.51%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -1.66%E -0.852%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 23:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 23:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 23:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 23:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 23:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 23:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 23:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 23:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 23:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 23:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 23:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 23:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.66%E -0.852%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.66%E -0.852%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 23:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -2.67%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 23:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 23:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 23:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.30%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -6.20%E -3.33%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -8.79%E -4.78%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 23:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50% | 0.1% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 23:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 21:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 1.4% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.9% | 2026-09-01 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 23:39 |