Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Kansas City Royals v Miami Marlins

Początek: 2026-09-01 23:41 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Kansas City Royals 3–6 Miami Marlins

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

65 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Kansas City Royals (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 50.43%1.98kurs godziwy
EV -0.148%
Przewaga -0.075%
Kelly -0.151%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.98

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
48.95%50.43%50.45%54.31%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.751.891.891.9857.14%52.94%52.91%50.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Miami Marlins (Goście)

Prognoza 49.57%2.02kurs godziwy
EV +3.10%
Przewaga +1.49%
Kelly +2.87%
Wzrost +0.089%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.08

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
45.69%49.57%49.55%51.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.841.921.922.0854.35%51.95%52.08%48.08%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Kansas City Royals (Gospodarze): 50.43%; Miami Marlins (Goście): 49.57%. Dla wyniku Miami Marlins (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.02. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.08, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.10%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -11.75%E -6.71%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +3.10%E +1.49%K +2.87%G +0.089%5.2%2026-09-01 22:55
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV +1.62%E +0.789%K +1.54%G +0.025%2.0%2026-09-01 17:35
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.861%E -0.430%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-01 21:33
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.67%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.36%E -0.682%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-01 23:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -1.85%E -0.935%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 23:39
Caesars🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.67%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.35%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-01 21:05
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -4.69%E -2.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -2.35%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -4.69%E -2.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -2.35%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 23:40
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.66%E -0.852%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-01 23:40
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 23:40
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 23:39
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.16%E -0.590%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-01 23:35
BetAnything🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.16%E -0.590%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-01 23:40
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 23:35
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:40
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:40
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -7.21%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.148%E -0.075%K -0.151%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.148%E -0.075%K -0.151%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 23:40
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.148%E -0.075%K -0.151%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 23:39
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.67%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 18:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -2.67%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 23:40
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 23:35
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.69%E -2.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.21%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.21%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -8.22%E -4.51%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 23:40
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -1.66%E -0.852%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 23:40
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 23:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 23:39
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 23:39
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 23:39
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 21:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 23:40
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 23:35
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 21:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 21:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 21:19
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:04
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 23:39
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 23:35
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 23:35
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 23:35
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 23:34
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 23:30
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 23:40
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.66%E -0.852%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 23:40
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.66%E -0.852%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 23:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -2.67%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 23:39
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 23:39
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.30%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -6.20%E -3.33%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -8.79%E -4.78%K -10.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 23:39
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%0.1%2026-09-01 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-09-01 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-09-01 23:40
Novig◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-09-01 23:40
ProphetX◎2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%0.6%2026-09-01 23:40
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-01 23:35
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-01 21:00
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-09-01 23:40
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-09-01 23:40
BetOpenly◎1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%5.0%2026-09-01 23:39