默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kansas City Royals v Miami Marlins

开赛时间: 2026-09-01 23:41 UTC

最终结果: Kansas City Royals 3–6 Miami Marlins

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kansas City Royals (主队)

预测 50.43%1.98公平赔率
EV -0.148%
优势 -0.075%
Kelly -0.151%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.98

博彩公司预测分布
48.95%50.43%50.45%54.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.751.891.891.9857.14%52.94%52.91%50.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

Miami Marlins (客队)

预测 49.57%2.02公平赔率
EV +3.10%
优势 +1.49%
Kelly +2.87%
增长率 +0.089%

假设最高赔率为 2.08

博彩公司预测分布
45.69%49.57%49.55%51.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.841.921.922.0854.35%51.95%52.08%48.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Kansas City Royals (主队):50.43%;Miami Marlins (客队):49.57%。 对于“Miami Marlins (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.02。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.08,对应+3.10%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -11.75%E -6.71%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +3.10%E +1.49%K +2.87%G +0.089%5.2%2026-09-01 22:55
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV +1.62%E +0.789%K +1.54%G +0.025%2.0%2026-09-01 17:35
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.861%E -0.430%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-01 21:33
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.67%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.36%E -0.682%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-01 23:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -1.85%E -0.935%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 23:39
Caesars🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.67%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.35%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-01 21:05
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -4.69%E -2.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -2.35%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -4.69%E -2.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -2.35%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 23:40
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.66%E -0.852%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-01 23:40
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 23:40
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 23:39
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.16%E -0.590%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-01 23:35
BetAnything🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.16%E -0.590%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-01 23:40
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 23:35
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:40
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:40
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -7.21%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.148%E -0.075%K -0.151%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.148%E -0.075%K -0.151%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 23:40
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.148%E -0.075%K -0.151%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 23:39
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.67%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 18:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -2.67%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 23:40
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 23:35
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.69%E -2.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.21%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.21%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -8.22%E -4.51%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -4.83%E -2.51%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 23:40
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -1.66%E -0.852%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 23:40
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 23:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 23:39
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 23:39
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 23:39
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 21:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 23:40
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 23:35
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 21:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 21:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 21:19
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:04
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 23:39
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 23:35
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 23:35
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 23:35
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 23:34
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 23:30
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 23:40
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.66%E -0.852%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 23:40
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.66%E -0.852%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 23:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -2.67%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 23:39
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 23:39
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.30%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -6.20%E -3.33%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -8.79%E -4.78%K -10.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 23:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%0.1%2026-09-01 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-09-01 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-09-01 23:40
Novig◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-09-01 23:40
ProphetX◎2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%0.6%2026-09-01 23:40
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-01 23:35
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-01 21:00
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-09-01 23:40
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-09-01 23:40
BetOpenly◎1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%5.0%2026-09-01 23:39