Language:English
Kansas City Royals v Detroit Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 55.12%1.81fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.03%55.11%55.19%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.741.7859.88%57.51%57.47%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Detroit Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 44.88%2.23fair odd
EV +0.521%
Edge +0.233%
Kelly +0.420%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%44.89%44.81%45.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.122.102.2448.78%47.09%47.62%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 55.12%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 44.88%. For Detroit Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.521%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV +0.521%E +0.233%K +0.420%G +0.002% | 1.8% | 2026-05-09 19:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.825%E -0.373%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.825%E -0.373%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.825%E -0.373%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-09 22:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.27%E -0.579%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 12:53 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.27%E -0.579%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.72%E -0.787%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.72%E -0.787%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.17%E -0.996%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.19%E -3.01%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.17%E -0.996%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 00:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 20:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.63%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 17:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 12:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.94%E -4.76%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 20:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -3.97%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-09 22:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.42%E -2.07%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.63%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.63%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 20:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 22:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 22:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 22:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 22:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 22:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.63%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.63%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.63%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 19:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.19%E -3.01%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.21%E -2.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 20:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 22:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.11%E -3.43%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.11%E -3.43%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 20:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 22:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.75% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67% | 2.7% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |