La escuela de los momios

Kansas City Royals v Detroit Tigers

Inicio: 2026-05-09 23:11 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 5–1 Detroit Tigers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Predicción 55.12%1.81momio equitativo
EV -1.88%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -2.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.03%55.11%55.19%56.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.741.741.7859.88%57.51%57.47%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Predicción 44.88%2.23momio equitativo
EV +0.521%
Ventaja +0.233%
Kelly +0.420%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.72%44.89%44.81%45.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.122.102.2448.78%47.09%47.62%44.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV +0.521%E +0.233%K +0.420%G +0.002%1.8%2026-05-09 19:34
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.825%E -0.373%K -0.682%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-09 20:14
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.825%E -0.373%K -0.682%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-09 23:09
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.825%E -0.373%K -0.682%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-09 22:24
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.27%E -0.579%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 12:53
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.27%E -0.579%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.72%E -0.787%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 23:09
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.72%E -0.787%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 23:09
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.17%E -0.996%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-09 23:09
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.19%E -3.01%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.17%E -0.996%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 12:29
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 00:54
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 22:19
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 20:29
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.63%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 23:09
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 17:14
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 12:29
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 12:29
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 12:28
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 12:29
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.94%E -4.76%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 20:44
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -3.97%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-09 22:54
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.42%E -2.07%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 23:04
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.63%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 23:04
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.63%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 23:04
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 20:19
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 22:54
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 22:54
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 23:04
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:50
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:55
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:54
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:55
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:54
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:55
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:55
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:54
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 23:09
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:14
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 23:04
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.63%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:59
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.63%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 23:04
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.63%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:49
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.19%E -3.01%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 23:04
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 23:00
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 23:09
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 20:14
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.21%E -2.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 23:04
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 20:19
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 23:09
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 22:54
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 22:54
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 22:55
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 22:55
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.11%E -3.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 23:09
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.11%E -3.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 23:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-09 23:09
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-05-09 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-09 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-09 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-09 23:04
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%0.7%2026-05-09 23:09
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-09 20:09
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-09 22:54
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.75%1.1%2026-05-09 23:09
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-05-09 23:04