A Escola das Odds

Kansas City Royals v Detroit Tigers

Início: 2026-05-09 23:11 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 5–1 Detroit Tigers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Previsão 55.12%1.81odd justa
EV -1.88%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -2.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.03%55.11%55.19%56.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.671.741.741.7859.88%57.51%57.47%56.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Previsão 44.88%2.23odd justa
EV +0.521%
Vantagem +0.233%
Kelly +0.420%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.72%44.89%44.81%45.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.122.102.2448.78%47.09%47.62%44.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV +0.521%E +0.233%K +0.420%G +0.002%1.8%2026-05-09 19:34
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.825%E -0.373%K -0.682%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-09 20:14
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.825%E -0.373%K -0.682%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-09 23:09
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.825%E -0.373%K -0.682%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-09 22:24
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.27%E -0.579%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 12:53
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.27%E -0.579%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.72%E -0.787%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 23:09
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.72%E -0.787%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 23:09
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.17%E -0.996%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-09 23:09
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.19%E -3.01%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.17%E -0.996%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 12:29
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 00:54
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 22:19
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 20:29
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.63%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 23:09
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 17:14
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 12:29
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 12:29
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 12:28
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 12:29
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.94%E -4.76%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 20:44
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -3.97%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-09 22:54
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.42%E -2.07%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 23:04
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.63%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 23:04
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.63%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 23:04
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 20:19
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 22:54
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 22:54
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 23:04
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:50
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:55
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:54
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:55
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:54
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:55
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:55
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:54
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 23:09
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:14
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 23:04
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.63%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:59
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.63%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 23:04
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.63%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:49
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.19%E -3.01%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 23:04
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 23:00
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.74%E -3.35%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 23:09
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 20:14
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.21%E -2.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 23:04
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 20:19
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.53%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 23:09
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 22:54
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 22:54
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 22:55
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.08%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 22:55
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.11%E -3.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 23:09
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.98%E -1.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.11%E -3.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 23:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-09 23:09
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-05-09 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-09 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-09 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-09 23:04
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%0.7%2026-05-09 23:09
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-09 20:09
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-09 22:54
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.75%1.1%2026-05-09 23:09
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-05-09 23:04