L’École des cotes

Kansas City Royals v Cleveland Guardians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-07 18:11 UTC

Score final : Kansas City Royals 5–8 Cleveland Guardians

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prévision 54.45%1.84cote équitable
EV +0.187%
Avantage +0.101%
Kelly +0.222%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.77%54.51%54.43%56.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.731.731.8460.61%57.74%57.80%54.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.55%2.20cote équitable
EV +2.03%
Avantage +0.908%
Kelly +1.64%
Croissance +0.033%

avec la cote maximale 2.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%45.49%45.57%47.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.112.102.2450.00%47.46%47.62%44.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV +2.03%E +0.908%K +1.64%G +0.033%2.1%2026-05-07 16:15
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.07%E -5.43%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.212%E +0.096%K +0.176%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:05
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.54%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.61%E -0.746%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-07 18:00
Everygame1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.54%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.61%E -0.746%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-07 17:59
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.54%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.35%E -3.69%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 18:10
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:00
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.54%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-07 18:00
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.54%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-07 18:00
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:05
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.53%E -5.07%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:10
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.53%E -5.07%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:10
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.53%E -5.07%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:10
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.53%E -5.07%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:10
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.53%E -5.07%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:10
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -0.358%E -0.196%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -3.89%E -1.84%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-07 18:05
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV +0.187%E +0.101%K +0.222%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-07 18:05
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 18:00
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 18:00
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 18:05
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 18:00
MyBookie.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 18:03
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:09
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:09
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:03
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:05
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:09
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 18:05
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 18:10
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.07%E -5.43%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 18:10
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.80%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 18:07
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.25%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 18:09
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 18:00
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 18:05
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -9.61%E -5.79%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -5.25%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -10.16%E -6.16%K -15.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -5.25%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 18:10
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.35%E -3.69%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.71%E -2.76%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 18:10
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.17%E -2.99%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 18:09
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 18:05
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 17:59
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 18:05
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 18:02
NordicBet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -7.08%E -3.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 18:10
Betsson1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -7.08%E -3.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -2.54%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -8.90%E -4.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 18:00
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.90%E -4.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -9.61%E -5.79%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -8.90%E -4.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-07 18:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 54.09%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.91%-0.1%2026-05-07 18:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-05-07 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-05-07 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-05-07 18:10
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-07 18:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-07 18:00
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-05-07 18:09
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-05-07 18:10
Novig1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.5%2026-05-07 18:10
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.2%2026-05-07 18:10