La escuela de los momios

Kansas City Royals v Cleveland Guardians

Inicio: 2026-05-07 18:11 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 5–8 Cleveland Guardians

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Predicción 54.45%1.84momio equitativo
EV +0.187%
Ventaja +0.101%
Kelly +0.222%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.77%54.51%54.43%56.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.731.731.8460.61%57.74%57.80%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 45.55%2.20momio equitativo
EV +2.03%
Ventaja +0.908%
Kelly +1.64%
Crecimiento +0.033%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.15%45.49%45.57%47.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.112.102.2450.00%47.46%47.62%44.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV +2.03%E +0.908%K +1.64%G +0.033%2.1%2026-05-07 16:15
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.07%E -5.43%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.212%E +0.096%K +0.176%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:05
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.54%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.61%E -0.746%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-07 18:00
Everygame1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.54%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.61%E -0.746%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-07 17:59
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.54%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.35%E -3.69%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 18:10
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:00
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.54%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-07 18:00
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.54%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-07 18:00
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:05
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.53%E -5.07%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:10
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.53%E -5.07%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:10
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.53%E -5.07%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:10
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.53%E -5.07%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:10
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.53%E -5.07%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:10
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -0.358%E -0.196%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -3.89%E -1.84%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-07 18:05
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV +0.187%E +0.101%K +0.222%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-07 18:05
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 18:00
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 18:00
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 18:05
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 18:00
MyBookie.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 18:03
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:09
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:09
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:03
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:05
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:09
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 18:05
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 18:10
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.07%E -5.43%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 18:10
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.80%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 18:07
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.25%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 18:09
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 18:00
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 18:05
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -9.61%E -5.79%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -5.25%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -10.16%E -6.16%K -15.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -5.25%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 18:10
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.35%E -3.69%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.71%E -2.76%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 18:10
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.17%E -2.99%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 18:09
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 18:05
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 17:59
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 18:05
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 18:02
NordicBet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -7.08%E -3.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 18:10
Betsson1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -7.08%E -3.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -2.54%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -8.90%E -4.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 18:00
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.90%E -4.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -9.61%E -5.79%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -8.90%E -4.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-07 18:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 54.09%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.91%-0.1%2026-05-07 18:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-05-07 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-05-07 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-05-07 18:10
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-07 18:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-07 18:00
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-05-07 18:09
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-05-07 18:10
Novig1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.5%2026-05-07 18:10
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.2%2026-05-07 18:10