مدرسة الاحتمالات

Kansas City Royals v Cleveland Guardians

البداية: 2026-05-07 18:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Kansas City Royals 5–8 Cleveland Guardians

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Kansas City Royals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.45%1.84السعر العادل
EV +0.187%
الأفضلية +0.101%
Kelly +0.222%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.84

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.77%54.51%54.43%56.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.731.731.8460.61%57.74%57.80%54.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cleveland Guardians (الضيف)

التنبؤ 45.55%2.20السعر العادل
EV +2.03%
الأفضلية +0.908%
Kelly +1.64%
النمو +0.033%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.24

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.15%45.49%45.57%47.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.112.102.2450.00%47.46%47.62%44.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV +2.03%E +0.908%K +1.64%G +0.033%2.1%2026-05-07 16:15
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.07%E -5.43%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.212%E +0.096%K +0.176%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:05
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.54%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.61%E -0.746%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-07 18:00
Everygame1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.54%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.61%E -0.746%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-07 17:59
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.54%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.35%E -3.69%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 18:10
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:00
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.54%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-07 18:00
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.54%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-07 18:00
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:05
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.53%E -5.07%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:10
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.53%E -5.07%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:10
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.53%E -5.07%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:10
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.53%E -5.07%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:10
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.53%E -5.07%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 18:10
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -0.358%E -0.196%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -3.89%E -1.84%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-07 18:05
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV +0.187%E +0.101%K +0.222%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-07 18:05
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 18:00
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 18:00
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 18:05
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 18:00
MyBookie.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 18:03
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:09
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:09
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:03
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:05
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:09
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:00
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 18:05
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 18:10
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.07%E -5.43%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 18:10
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.80%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 18:07
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.25%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 18:09
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 18:00
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 18:05
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -9.61%E -5.79%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -5.25%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -10.16%E -6.16%K -15.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -5.25%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 18:10
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.35%E -3.69%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.71%E -2.76%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 18:10
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.17%E -2.99%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 18:09
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 18:05
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 17:59
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 18:05
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.44%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 18:02
NordicBet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -7.08%E -3.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 18:10
Betsson1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -7.08%E -3.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -2.54%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -8.90%E -4.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 18:00
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.90%E -4.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -9.61%E -5.79%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -8.90%E -4.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-07 18:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 54.09%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.91%-0.1%2026-05-07 18:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-05-07 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-05-07 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-05-07 18:10
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-07 18:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-07 18:00
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-05-07 18:09
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-05-07 18:10
Novig1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.5%2026-05-07 18:10
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.2%2026-05-07 18:10