Language:English
Kansas City Royals v Boston Red Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 49.31%2.03fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.690%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.05%49.35%49.40%50.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.931.932.0054.35%51.74%51.81%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Red Sox (Visit)
Prediction 50.69%1.97fair odd
EV -0.141%
Edge -0.072%
Kelly -0.146%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.74%50.65%50.60%51.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.871.871.9756.18%53.51%53.48%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 49.31%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 50.69%. For Boston Red Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.973. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.970, with an expected value of -0.141%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.38%E -0.690%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.38%E -0.690%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.38%E -0.690%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-18 23:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.38%E -0.690%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-18 04:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.38%E -0.690%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-18 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.38%E -0.690%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-18 21:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.87%E -0.941%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.68%E -1.39%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-18 22:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.37%E -1.19%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.17%E -1.12%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-18 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.37%E -1.19%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-18 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.37%E -1.19%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-18 21:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.37%E -1.19%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-18 21:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 20:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.71%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.648%E -0.331%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-18 21:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -0.141%E -0.072%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-18 22:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-18 17:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-18 06:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 22:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 22:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 06:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 02:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 23:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 21:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.34%E -2.24%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 11:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.34%E -2.24%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.34%E -2.24%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 21:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-18 23:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 11:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 16:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.72%E -3.07%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 19:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 20:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 02:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -2.68%E -1.39%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 18:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 21:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 21:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 23:07 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -6.80%E -3.60%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -6.73%E -3.66%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-18 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -6.80%E -3.60%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -8.25%E -4.56%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.77%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.23%EV -9.27%E -5.18%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 20:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -9.27%E -5.04%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -9.77%E -5.49%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.75% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.25% | 0.0% | 2026-05-18 23:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 1.0% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 1.0% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 22:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13% | 2.3% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36% | 2.3% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |