Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-05-18 23:11 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 1–3 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Previsão 49.31%2.03odd justa
EV -1.38%
Vantagem -0.690%
Kelly -1.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.05%49.35%49.40%50.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.841.931.932.0054.35%51.74%51.81%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 50.69%1.97odd justa
EV -0.141%
Vantagem -0.072%
Kelly -0.146%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.74%50.65%50.60%51.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.871.871.9756.18%53.51%53.48%50.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kansas City Royals (Local): 49.31%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 50.69%. Para Boston Red Sox (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.973. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.970, com valor esperado de -0.141%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.38%E -0.690%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.38%E -0.690%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 23:10
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.38%E -0.690%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 23:09
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.38%E -0.690%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 04:15
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.38%E -0.690%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.38%E -0.690%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 21:20
BetAnything🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.87%E -0.941%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.68%E -1.39%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 22:35
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.37%E -1.19%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.17%E -1.12%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 22:40
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.37%E -1.19%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.37%E -1.19%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 21:20
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.37%E -1.19%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 21:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 20:49
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.648%E -0.331%K -0.675%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-18 21:40
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -0.141%E -0.072%K -0.146%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-18 22:50
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-18 17:15
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 06:10
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:15
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:50
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 06:00
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 02:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 23:15
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 21:15
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.34%E -2.24%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 11:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.34%E -2.24%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.34%E -2.24%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 21:15
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 23:09
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 11:44
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 23:10
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 16:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 23:00
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.72%E -3.07%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 19:55
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 20:45
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 23:10
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 02:50
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 23:10
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 23:10
Bovada🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -2.68%E -1.39%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 18:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 21:30
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 23:07
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -6.80%E -3.60%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -6.73%E -3.66%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -6.80%E -3.60%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -8.25%E -4.56%K -10.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.77%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.23%EV -9.27%E -5.18%K -11.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 20:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -9.27%E -5.04%K -11.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -9.77%E -5.49%K -12.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-18 23:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.01I 49.75%NM 49.75%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.25%0.0%2026-05-18 23:09
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-05-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-05-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-05-18 23:10
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-17 22:20
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-18 23:10
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-18 23:10
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%2.3%2026-05-18 23:10
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%2.3%2026-05-18 23:10