L’École des cotes

Kansas City Royals v Boston Red Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-18 23:11 UTC

Score final : Kansas City Royals 1–3 Boston Red Sox

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prévision 49.31%2.03cote équitable
EV -1.38%
Avantage -0.690%
Kelly -1.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.05%49.35%49.40%50.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.841.931.932.0054.35%51.74%51.81%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boston Red Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.69%1.97cote équitable
EV -0.141%
Avantage -0.072%
Kelly -0.146%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.74%50.65%50.60%51.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.871.871.9756.18%53.51%53.48%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.38%E -0.690%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 23:10
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.38%E -0.690%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 23:10
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.38%E -0.690%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 23:09
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.38%E -0.690%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 04:15
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.38%E -0.690%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.38%E -0.690%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 21:20
BetAnything1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.87%E -0.941%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.68%E -1.39%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 22:35
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.37%E -1.19%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.17%E -1.12%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 22:40
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.37%E -1.19%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.37%E -1.19%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 21:20
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.37%E -1.19%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 21:20
MyBookie.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.86%E -1.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 20:49
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.648%E -0.331%K -0.675%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-18 21:40
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -0.141%E -0.072%K -0.146%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-18 22:50
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-18 17:15
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 06:10
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:15
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:50
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 06:00
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 02:59
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 23:15
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 21:15
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.34%E -2.24%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 11:40
Betr (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.34%E -2.24%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 23:00
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.34%E -2.24%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 21:15
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 23:09
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 23:00
SportsBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 11:44
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 23:10
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 23:10
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 23:10
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 16:04
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 23:10
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 23:00
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 23:00
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.72%E -3.07%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 19:55
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 20:45
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 23:10
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 02:50
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 18:10
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 18:10
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 18:10
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 23:10
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 23:10
Bally Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 23:10
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -7.74%E -4.26%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 23:10
Bovada1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -2.68%E -1.39%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 22:40
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 18:00
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 21:30
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 21:30
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 23:10
FanDuel1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 23:10
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 23:07
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -6.80%E -3.60%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -6.73%E -3.66%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 22:55
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -6.80%E -3.60%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -8.25%E -4.56%K -10.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 23:10
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.77%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.23%EV -9.27%E -5.18%K -11.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 23:10
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 20:45
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -9.27%E -5.04%K -11.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -9.77%E -5.49%K -12.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-18 23:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.01I 49.75%NM 49.75%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.25%0.0%2026-05-18 23:09
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-05-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-05-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-05-18 23:10
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-17 22:20
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-18 23:10
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-18 23:10
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%2.3%2026-05-18 23:10
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%2.3%2026-05-18 23:10