Language:English
Houston Astros v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Houston Astros (Local)
Prediction 43.71%2.29fair odd
EV +0.534%
Edge +0.232%
Kelly +0.411%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%43.72%43.67%44.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.202.3047.62%45.68%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 56.29%1.78fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.853%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.26%56.28%56.33%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.701.7561.73%59.03%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 43.71%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 56.29%. For Houston Astros (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.534%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.534%E +0.232%K +0.411%G +0.002% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-03 23:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.65%E -0.734%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-03 23:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.65%E -0.734%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-03 20:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.65%E -0.734%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-03 20:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.65%E -0.734%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.12%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-03 23:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.09%E -0.933%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-03 23:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.09%E -0.933%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.62%E -1.51%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-03 22:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.09%E -0.933%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-03 20:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.53%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.49%E -0.853%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-03 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.53%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.18%E -1.85%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-03 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.49%E -0.853%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-04 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-03 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-03 22:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-03 20:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-03 20:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.40%E -1.54%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.49%E -0.853%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-03 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.40%E -1.54%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.49%E -0.853%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-03 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-03 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-03 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-03 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-03 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-03 22:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-03 20:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-03 22:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 23:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 23:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-03 21:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-03 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-03 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-03 21:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-03 22:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.81%E -5.44%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-03 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.27%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 23:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-04 00:08 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-03 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-03 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-03 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-03 21:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-03 21:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-03 21:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-03 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-03 21:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 23:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.15%E -2.37%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-03 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.15%E -2.37%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-03 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.15%E -2.37%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-03 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.15%E -2.37%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-03 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.59%E -2.59%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-04 00:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.59%E -2.59%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-04 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-04 00:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-03 23:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-03 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-03 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-04 00:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-04 00:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-04 00:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-03 22:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-04 00:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-03 22:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -7.33%E -3.46%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -7.68%E -4.69%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-03 23:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.21%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-03 20:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.21%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-04 00:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.21%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.12%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-03 23:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 0.3% | 2026-06-04 00:06 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-06-04 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-06-04 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-06-04 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-06-04 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-06-03 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64% | 2.1% | 2026-06-04 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.2% | 2026-06-04 00:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97% | 3.9% | 2026-06-04 00:09 |