La scuola delle quote

Houston Astros v Pittsburgh Pirates

Inizio: 2026-06-04 00:11 UTC

Finale: Houston Astros 11–9 Pittsburgh Pirates

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Houston Astros (Casa)

Previsione 43.71%2.29quota equa
EV +0.534%
Vantaggio +0.232%
Kelly +0.411%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.31%43.72%43.67%44.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.192.202.3047.62%45.68%45.45%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pittsburgh Pirates (Trasferta)

Previsione 56.29%1.78quota equa
EV -1.49%
Vantaggio -0.853%
Kelly -1.99%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.26%56.28%56.33%57.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.691.701.7561.73%59.03%58.82%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.534%E +0.232%K +0.411%G +0.002%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-03 23:39
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.65%E -0.734%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-03 23:50
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.65%E -0.734%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-03 20:40
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.65%E -0.734%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 20:40
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.65%E -0.734%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.12%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 23:20
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.09%E -0.933%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-03 23:39
BetAnything2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.09%E -0.933%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.62%E -1.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-03 22:49
FanDuel2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.09%E -0.933%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 20:40
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.53%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.49%E -0.853%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-03 22:50
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.53%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.18%E -1.85%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-03 21:50
BetUS2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.49%E -0.853%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-04 00:10
Unibet (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 22:50
MyBookie.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 22:50
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 20:48
SportsBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 20:39
BetOnline.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.40%E -1.54%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.49%E -0.853%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-03 22:50
LowVig.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.40%E -1.54%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.49%E -0.853%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-03 22:50
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 21:50
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 21:50
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 22:39
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 20:59
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 22:49
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 23:10
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 23:09
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 21:19
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 21:20
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 21:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 21:20
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:19
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.81%E -5.44%K -14.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-03 21:50
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.27%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 23:59
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-04 00:08
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 21:50
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 21:50
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 21:50
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 21:50
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 21:50
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 21:50
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 21:50
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 23:59
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.15%E -2.37%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-03 21:50
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.15%E -2.37%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-03 21:50
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.15%E -2.37%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-03 21:50
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.15%E -2.37%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-03 21:50
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.59%E -2.59%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-04 00:09
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.59%E -2.59%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-04 00:09
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 00:10
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 23:30
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:50
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 00:09
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 00:09
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 00:09
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 22:50
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-04 00:00
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 22:49
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -7.33%E -3.46%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -7.68%E -4.69%K -12.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-03 23:49
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.21%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 20:49
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.21%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-04 00:10
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.21%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.12%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-03 23:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-06-04 00:06
ProphetX2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-06-04 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-06-04 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-06-04 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-06-04 00:10
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-06-03 22:20
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-06-04 00:10
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-06-04 00:10
BetOpenly2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%3.9%2026-06-04 00:09