La escuela de los momios

Houston Astros v Pittsburgh Pirates

Inicio: 2026-06-04 00:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 11–9 Pittsburgh Pirates

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Predicción 43.71%2.29momio equitativo
EV +0.534%
Ventaja +0.232%
Kelly +0.411%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.31%43.72%43.67%44.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.192.202.3047.62%45.68%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Predicción 56.29%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.49%
Ventaja -0.853%
Kelly -1.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.26%56.28%56.33%57.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.691.701.7561.73%59.03%58.82%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.534%E +0.232%K +0.411%G +0.002%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-03 23:39
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.65%E -0.734%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-03 23:50
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.65%E -0.734%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-03 20:40
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.65%E -0.734%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 20:40
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.65%E -0.734%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.12%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 23:20
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.09%E -0.933%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-03 23:39
BetAnything2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.09%E -0.933%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.62%E -1.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-03 22:49
FanDuel2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.09%E -0.933%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 20:40
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.53%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.49%E -0.853%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-03 22:50
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.53%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.18%E -1.85%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-03 21:50
BetUS2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.49%E -0.853%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-04 00:10
Unibet (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 22:50
MyBookie.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 22:50
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 20:48
SportsBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 20:39
BetOnline.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.40%E -1.54%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.49%E -0.853%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-03 22:50
LowVig.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.40%E -1.54%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.49%E -0.853%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-03 22:50
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 21:50
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 21:50
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 22:39
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 20:59
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 22:49
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 23:10
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 23:09
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 21:19
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 21:20
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 21:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 21:20
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:19
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.81%E -5.44%K -14.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-03 21:50
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.27%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 23:59
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-04 00:08
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 21:50
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 21:50
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 21:50
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 21:50
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 21:50
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 21:50
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 21:50
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 23:59
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.15%E -2.37%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-03 21:50
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.15%E -2.37%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-03 21:50
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.15%E -2.37%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-03 21:50
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.15%E -2.37%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-03 21:50
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.59%E -2.59%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-04 00:09
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.59%E -2.59%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-04 00:09
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 00:10
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 23:30
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:50
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 00:09
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 00:09
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 00:09
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 22:50
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-04 00:00
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 22:49
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -7.33%E -3.46%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -7.68%E -4.69%K -12.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-03 23:49
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.21%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 20:49
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.21%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-04 00:10
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.21%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.12%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-03 23:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-06-04 00:06
ProphetX2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-06-04 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-06-04 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-06-04 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-06-04 00:10
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-06-03 22:20
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-06-04 00:10
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-06-04 00:10
BetOpenly2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%3.9%2026-06-04 00:09