Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros v Los Angeles Dodgers

Kickoff: 2026-05-06 18:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 2–12 Los Angeles Dodgers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros (Local)

Prediction 34.28%2.92fair odd
EV +1.14%
Edge +0.385%
Kelly +0.582%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.34%34.27%34.32%35.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.792.802.9537.04%35.80%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)

Prediction 65.72%1.52fair odd
EV -0.110%
Edge -0.073%
Kelly -0.212%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.57%65.73%65.68%67.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.5271.43%68.99%68.97%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 34.28%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 65.72%. For Houston Astros (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +1.14%E +0.385%K +0.582%G +0.007%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -0.922%E -0.319%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -0.922%E -0.319%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 18:10
Pinnacle🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -1.95%E -0.682%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.08%E -1.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 17:55
GTbets🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -1.95%E -0.682%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.29%E -0.805%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-06 17:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.29%E -0.805%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 12:09
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 16:10
ReBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 14:45
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 15:30
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 13:40
Caesars🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 17:39
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 18:00
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 17:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 17:40
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 07:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 07:34
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 07:34
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 07:33
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 07:34
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.02%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:00
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.02%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.68%E -4.71%K -15.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 05:29
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -19.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 15:44
BetUS🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -4.35%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.08%E -1.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 17:50
DraftKings🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -4.35%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.65%EV -4.05%E -2.78%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 14:40
SportsBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -4.35%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 15:20
Coolbet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.69%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 12:14
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.69%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:00
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.69%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:00
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -5.04%E -1.82%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -0.110%E -0.073%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-06 17:40
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.74%E -1.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 20:20
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 17:59
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:10
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 01:55
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 02:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.68%E -4.71%K -15.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -6.06%E -2.21%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -2.74%E -1.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 17:24
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.44%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 18:03
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.44%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 14:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-05-06 18:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-05-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-05-06 18:10
ProphetX2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-05-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-05-06 18:10
Polymarket2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-05-06 18:10
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-05-06 17:05
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%2.5%2026-05-06 18:10
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%2.9%2026-05-06 18:10
Novig2.51I 39.84%NM 35.48%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.52%12.3%2026-05-06 18:10