L’École des cotes

Houston Astros v Los Angeles Dodgers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 18:11 UTC

Score final : Houston Astros 2–12 Los Angeles Dodgers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Prévision 34.28%2.92cote équitable
EV +1.14%
Avantage +0.385%
Kelly +0.582%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.34%34.27%34.32%35.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.792.802.9537.04%35.80%35.71%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.72%1.52cote équitable
EV -0.110%
Avantage -0.073%
Kelly -0.212%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.57%65.73%65.68%67.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.451.451.5271.43%68.99%68.97%65.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Fliff2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +1.14%E +0.385%K +0.582%G +0.007%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 18:05
LowVig.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -0.922%E -0.319%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -0.922%E -0.319%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 18:10
Pinnacle2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -1.95%E -0.682%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.08%E -1.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 17:55
GTbets2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -1.95%E -0.682%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 18:10
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.29%E -0.805%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-06 17:45
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.29%E -0.805%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 12:09
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 13:40
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 16:10
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 14:45
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 15:30
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 13:40
Caesars2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 22:59
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 17:39
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 18:00
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 17:54
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 17:40
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 17:40
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 07:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 07:34
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 07:34
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 07:33
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 07:34
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.02%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:00
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.02%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:00
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.68%E -4.71%K -15.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 05:29
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -19.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 15:44
BetUS2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -4.35%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.08%E -1.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 17:50
DraftKings2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -4.35%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.65%EV -4.05%E -2.78%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 14:40
SportsBet2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -4.35%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 15:20
Coolbet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.69%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 12:14
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.69%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:00
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.69%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:00
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -5.04%E -1.82%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -0.110%E -0.073%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-06 17:40
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.74%E -1.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 20:20
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:09
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:45
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:09
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Marathon Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:09
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 17:59
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:10
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 01:55
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 02:00
Dabble (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.68%E -4.71%K -15.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:05
MyBookie.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -6.06%E -2.21%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -2.74%E -1.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 17:24
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.44%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 18:03
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.44%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 14:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-05-06 18:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-05-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-05-06 18:10
ProphetX2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-05-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-05-06 18:10
Polymarket2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-05-06 18:10
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-05-06 17:05
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%2.5%2026-05-06 18:10
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%2.9%2026-05-06 18:10
Novig2.51I 39.84%NM 35.48%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.52%12.3%2026-05-06 18:10