Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Los Angeles Dodgers

Inicio: 2026-05-06 18:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 2–12 Los Angeles Dodgers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Predicción 34.28%2.92momio equitativo
EV +1.14%
Ventaja +0.385%
Kelly +0.582%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.34%34.27%34.32%35.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.792.802.9537.04%35.80%35.71%33.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 65.72%1.52momio equitativo
EV -0.110%
Ventaja -0.073%
Kelly -0.212%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.57%65.73%65.68%67.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.451.451.5271.43%68.99%68.97%65.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Houston Astros (Local): 34.28%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante): 65.72%. Para Houston Astros (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.92. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.95, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.14%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +1.14%E +0.385%K +0.582%G +0.007%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -0.922%E -0.319%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -0.922%E -0.319%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 18:10
Pinnacle🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -1.95%E -0.682%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.08%E -1.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 17:55
GTbets🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -1.95%E -0.682%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.29%E -0.805%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-06 17:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.29%E -0.805%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 12:09
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 16:10
ReBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 14:45
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 15:30
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 13:40
Caesars🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 17:39
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 18:00
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 17:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 17:40
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 07:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 07:34
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 07:34
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 07:33
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 07:34
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.02%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:00
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.02%E -4.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.68%E -4.71%K -15.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 05:29
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -19.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 15:44
BetUS🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -4.35%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.08%E -1.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 17:50
DraftKings🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -4.35%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.65%EV -4.05%E -2.78%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 14:40
SportsBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -4.35%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 15:20
Coolbet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.69%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 12:14
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.69%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:00
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.69%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:00
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -5.04%E -1.82%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -0.110%E -0.073%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-06 17:40
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.74%E -1.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 20:20
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 17:59
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:10
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 01:55
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 02:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.68%E -4.71%K -15.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -6.06%E -2.21%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -2.74%E -1.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 17:24
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.44%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 18:03
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.44%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 14:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-05-06 18:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-05-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-05-06 18:10
ProphetX2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-05-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-05-06 18:10
Polymarket2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-05-06 18:10
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-05-06 17:05
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%2.5%2026-05-06 18:10
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%2.9%2026-05-06 18:10
Novig2.51I 39.84%NM 35.48%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.52%12.3%2026-05-06 18:10