Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.90
assuming max odds 1.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 34.30%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 65.70%. For Houston Astros (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -0.516%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.516%E -0.178%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.71%E -4.73%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.516%E -0.178%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.03%E -5.73%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%EV -1.20%E -0.417%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-06 00:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -2.23%E -0.783%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.11%E -1.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-05 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.23%E -0.783%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 22:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.23%E -0.783%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 22:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.23%E -0.783%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 22:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.23%E -0.783%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 00:02 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.23%E -0.783%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -2.57%E -0.907%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -1.46%E -0.971%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-05 23:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.57%E -0.907%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.11%E -1.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-05 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.57%E -0.907%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.11%E -1.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-05 23:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.57%E -0.907%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 20:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.26%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.08%E -2.80%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-05 23:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.43%E -2.33%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 23:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 23:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 21:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 11:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 00:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 22:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 11:13 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 11:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.06%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.06%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 00:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.71%E -4.73%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 00:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.03%E -5.73%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 21:43 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.63%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 23:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.43%E -2.33%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 23:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 23:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 23:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 22:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.06%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 00:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -1.46%E -0.971%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-05 23:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -8.06%E -3.01%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.43%E -2.33%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 00:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -8.06%E -3.01%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.43%E -2.33%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 23:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.09%E -3.43%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 00:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.81%E -4.16%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -10.81%E -4.16%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.43%E -2.33%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 00:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -12.52%E -4.91%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 00:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.91I 34.36%NM 34.31% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.69% | 0.2% | 2026-05-06 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 23:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 0.7% | 2026-05-05 23:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-05-05 21:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 23:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13% | 2.9% | 2026-05-05 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 00:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.37% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.63% | 11.3% | 2026-05-06 00:10 |