L’École des cotes

Houston Astros v Los Angeles Dodgers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 00:11 UTC

Score final : Houston Astros 2–1 Los Angeles Dodgers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Prévision 34.30%2.92cote équitable
EV -0.516%
Avantage -0.178%
Kelly -0.272%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.56%34.45%34.37%36.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.782.802.9039.22%35.91%35.71%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.70%1.52cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -0.971%
Kelly -2.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.73%65.55%65.63%67.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.451.451.5071.43%68.94%68.97%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.516%E -0.178%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.71%E -4.73%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.516%E -0.178%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.03%E -5.73%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 10:35
Pinnacle2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%EV -1.20%E -0.417%K -0.640%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-06 00:04
GTbets2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -2.23%E -0.783%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.11%E -1.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-05 23:30
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.23%E -0.783%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 22:30
ReBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.23%E -0.783%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 22:30
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.23%E -0.783%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 22:30
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.23%E -0.783%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 00:02
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.23%E -0.783%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:05
1xBet2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -2.57%E -0.907%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -1.46%E -0.971%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-05 23:20
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.57%E -0.907%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.11%E -1.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-05 23:30
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.57%E -0.907%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.11%E -1.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-05 23:24
DraftKings2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.57%E -0.907%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:45
MyBookie.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.26%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.08%E -2.80%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 23:18
SportsBet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 22:20
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-05 23:40
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.43%E -2.33%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 23:10
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 23:30
Caesars2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 21:54
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 11:15
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 11:15
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 23:40
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 00:08
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 22:10
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 11:13
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 11:14
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 23:40
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 23:40
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 23:40
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 23:40
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 23:40
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 23:40
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 23:40
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.06%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 00:10
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.06%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 00:00
Dabble (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.71%E -4.73%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 00:04
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.03%E -5.73%K -20.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 21:43
Coolbet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.63%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 23:29
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.43%E -2.33%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 23:05
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:30
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:30
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:30
Marathon Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:14
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:40
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:40
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 22:54
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 23:40
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 23:40
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.06%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 00:10
BetUS2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -1.46%E -0.971%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-05 23:50
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -8.06%E -3.01%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.43%E -2.33%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 00:09
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -8.06%E -3.01%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.43%E -2.33%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:24
Betway2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.09%E -3.43%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 00:09
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.81%E -4.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 00:09
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -10.81%E -4.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.43%E -2.33%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 00:09
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -12.52%E -4.91%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 00:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.91I 34.36%NM 34.31%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.69%0.2%2026-05-06 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-05-05 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-05-05 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-05-05 23:50
ProphetX2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-05-05 23:59
Polymarket2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-05-05 21:50
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-05-05 23:45
BetOpenly2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%2.9%2026-05-05 23:55
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%3.0%2026-05-06 00:10
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 35.37%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.63%11.3%2026-05-06 00:10