La escuela de los momios

Houston Astros v Los Angeles Dodgers

Inicio: 2026-05-06 00:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 2–1 Los Angeles Dodgers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Predicción 34.30%2.92momio equitativo
EV -0.516%
Ventaja -0.178%
Kelly -0.272%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.56%34.45%34.37%36.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.782.802.9039.22%35.91%35.71%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 65.70%1.52momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -0.971%
Kelly -2.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.73%65.55%65.63%67.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.451.451.5071.43%68.94%68.97%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.516%E -0.178%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.71%E -4.73%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.516%E -0.178%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.03%E -5.73%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 10:35
Pinnacle2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%EV -1.20%E -0.417%K -0.640%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-06 00:04
GTbets2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -2.23%E -0.783%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.11%E -1.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-05 23:30
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.23%E -0.783%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 22:30
ReBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.23%E -0.783%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 22:30
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.23%E -0.783%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 22:30
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.23%E -0.783%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 00:02
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.23%E -0.783%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:05
1xBet2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -2.57%E -0.907%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -1.46%E -0.971%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-05 23:20
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.57%E -0.907%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.11%E -1.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-05 23:30
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.57%E -0.907%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.11%E -1.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-05 23:24
DraftKings2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.57%E -0.907%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:45
MyBookie.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.26%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.08%E -2.80%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 23:18
SportsBet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 22:20
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-05 23:40
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.43%E -2.33%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 23:10
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 23:30
Caesars2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 21:54
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 11:15
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 11:15
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 23:40
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 00:08
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 22:10
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 11:13
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 11:14
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 23:40
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 23:40
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 23:40
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 23:40
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 23:40
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 23:40
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 23:40
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.06%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 00:10
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.06%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 00:00
Dabble (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.71%E -4.73%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 00:04
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.03%E -5.73%K -20.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 21:43
Coolbet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.63%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 23:29
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.43%E -2.33%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 23:05
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:30
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:30
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:30
Marathon Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:14
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:40
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:40
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 22:54
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 23:40
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 23:40
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.06%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 00:10
BetUS2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -1.46%E -0.971%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-05 23:50
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -8.06%E -3.01%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.43%E -2.33%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 00:09
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -8.06%E -3.01%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.43%E -2.33%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:24
Betway2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.09%E -3.43%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 00:09
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.81%E -4.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 00:09
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -10.81%E -4.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.43%E -2.33%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 00:09
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -12.52%E -4.91%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 00:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.91I 34.36%NM 34.31%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.69%0.2%2026-05-06 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-05-05 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-05-05 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-05-05 23:50
ProphetX2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-05-05 23:59
Polymarket2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-05-05 21:50
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-05-05 23:45
BetOpenly2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%2.9%2026-05-05 23:55
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%3.0%2026-05-06 00:10
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 35.37%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.63%11.3%2026-05-06 00:10