A Escola das Odds

Houston Astros v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-07-18 20:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 2–4 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 50.12%2.00odd justa
EV -1.26%
Vantagem -0.641%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.47%50.37%50.00%52.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.761.891.901.9756.82%52.94%52.63%50.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 49.88%2.00odd justa
EV -2.24%
Vantagem -1.14%
Kelly -2.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.00%49.63%50.00%50.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.901.901.9654.64%52.50%52.63%51.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.26%E -0.641%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-18 20:09
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.76%E -0.900%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.24%E -1.14%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-18 16:30
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.16%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 20:00
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.16%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 20:00
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.16%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 20:00
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.16%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 12:10
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.16%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 19:05
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.16%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 05:10
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.69%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-18 13:00
MyBookie.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 16:50
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.23%E -2.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 04:40
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 20:10
Bovada1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 20:05
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:55
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-18 16:45
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 09:45
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 23:39
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 23:40
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 18:04
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 16:20
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 16:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 16:20
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 20:09
Betr (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:10
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.72%E -3.60%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 20:00
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 16:20
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 12:55
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 16:20
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:10
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:10
Betsson1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.27%E -2.79%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:45
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.79%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 20:10
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:00
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:10
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:10
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:10
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:10
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:10
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.72%E -3.60%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 20:10
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 20:10
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.23%E -3.31%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 20:10
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.60%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 17:45
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.60%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 20:10
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.60%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 03:20
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -6.78%E -3.64%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -6.72%E -3.60%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 20:10
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.28%E -3.93%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:10
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.28%E -3.93%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 20:00
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.28%E -3.93%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 20:10
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.28%E -3.93%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.72%E -3.60%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 20:10
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.93%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.72%E -4.17%K -9.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -7.78%E -4.23%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -3.23%E -1.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 20:10
NordicBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -7.78%E -4.23%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -6.23%E -3.31%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 20:10
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.78%E -4.23%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.22%E -3.88%K -8.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 19:43
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.28%E -4.52%K -9.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.28%E -4.52%K -9.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.72%E -4.76%K -10.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 20:10
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.78%E -5.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 20:10
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.78%E -5.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 20:10
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.78%E -5.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.72%E -4.17%K -9.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -11.79%E -6.70%K -15.51%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -7.22%E -3.88%K -8.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-18 20:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-07-18 20:05
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-07-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-07-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-07-18 20:10
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-07-18 20:10
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-07-18 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-07-18 19:55
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-18 20:10
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%1.3%2026-07-18 20:10
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-07-18 19:50