مدرسة الاحتمالات

Houston Astros v Baltimore Orioles

البداية: 2026-07-18 20:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Houston Astros 2–4 Baltimore Orioles

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Houston Astros (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.12%2.00السعر العادل
EV -1.26%
الأفضلية -0.641%
Kelly -1.30%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.97

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.47%50.37%50.00%52.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.761.891.901.9756.82%52.94%52.63%50.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Baltimore Orioles (الضيف)

التنبؤ 49.88%2.00السعر العادل
EV -2.24%
الأفضلية -1.14%
Kelly -2.33%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.96

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.00%49.63%50.00%50.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.831.901.901.9654.64%52.50%52.63%51.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.26%E -0.641%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-18 20:09
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.76%E -0.900%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.24%E -1.14%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-18 16:30
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.16%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 20:00
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.16%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 20:00
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.16%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 20:00
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.16%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 12:10
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.16%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 19:05
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.16%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 05:10
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.69%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-18 13:00
MyBookie.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 16:50
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.23%E -2.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 04:40
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 20:10
Bovada1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 20:05
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:55
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-18 16:45
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 09:45
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 23:39
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 23:40
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 18:04
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 16:20
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 16:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 16:20
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 20:09
Betr (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:10
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.72%E -3.60%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 20:00
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 16:20
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 12:55
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 16:20
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:10
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:10
Betsson1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.27%E -2.79%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:45
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.79%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 20:10
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:00
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:10
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:10
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:10
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:10
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:10
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.72%E -3.60%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 20:10
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 20:10
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.23%E -3.31%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 20:10
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.60%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 17:45
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.60%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 20:10
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.60%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 03:20
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -6.78%E -3.64%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -6.72%E -3.60%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 20:10
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.28%E -3.93%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:10
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.28%E -3.93%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 20:00
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.28%E -3.93%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 20:10
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.28%E -3.93%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.72%E -3.60%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 20:10
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.93%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.72%E -4.17%K -9.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -7.78%E -4.23%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -3.23%E -1.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 20:10
NordicBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -7.78%E -4.23%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -6.23%E -3.31%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 20:10
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.78%E -4.23%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.22%E -3.88%K -8.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 19:43
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.28%E -4.52%K -9.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.28%E -4.52%K -9.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.72%E -4.76%K -10.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 20:10
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.78%E -5.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 20:10
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.78%E -5.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 20:10
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.78%E -5.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.72%E -4.17%K -9.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -11.79%E -6.70%K -15.51%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -7.22%E -3.88%K -8.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-18 20:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-07-18 20:05
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-07-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-07-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-07-18 20:10
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-07-18 20:10
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-07-18 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-07-18 19:55
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-18 20:10
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%1.3%2026-07-18 20:10
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-07-18 19:50