La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Houston Astros v Baltimore Orioles
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Houston Astros (Local)
Predicción 50.12%2.00momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.641%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.47%50.37%50.00%52.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.761.891.901.9756.82%52.94%52.63%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)
Predicción 49.88%2.00momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -2.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.00%49.63%50.00%50.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.901.901.9654.64%52.50%52.63%51.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.26%E -0.641%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-18 20:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.76%E -0.900%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.24%E -1.14%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-18 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.16%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-18 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.16%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-18 20:00 |
| GTbets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.16%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-18 20:00 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.16%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-18 12:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.16%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-18 19:05 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.16%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-18 05:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.69%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-18 13:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-18 16:50 |
| TAB | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.23%E -2.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-18 04:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Bovada | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 20:05 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 19:55 |
| ReBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-18 16:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 09:45 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 23:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 23:40 |
| Caesars | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 18:04 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 16:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 16:20 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 16:20 |
| betPARX | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 20:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.72%E -3.60%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 20:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 16:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-17 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 16:20 |
| Neds | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 20:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.51%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Betsson | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.27%E -2.79%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.73%E -2.48%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 19:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.79%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 20:00 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Unibet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.72%E -3.60%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.23%E -3.31%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.60%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 17:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.60%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.60%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 03:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -6.78%E -3.64%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -6.72%E -3.60%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.28%E -3.93%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.28%E -3.93%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-18 20:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.28%E -3.93%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.28%E -3.93%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.72%E -3.60%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.93%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.72%E -4.17%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -7.78%E -4.23%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -3.23%E -1.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -7.78%E -4.23%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -6.23%E -3.31%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.78%E -4.23%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.22%E -3.88%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-18 19:43 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.28%E -4.52%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.28%E -4.52%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.72%E -4.76%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| betano_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.78%E -5.44%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.78%E -5.44%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.23%E -2.75%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.78%E -5.44%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.72%E -4.17%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -11.79%E -6.70%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -7.22%E -3.88%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-07-18 20:05 |
| Novig | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 19:55 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13% | 1.3% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-07-18 19:50 |