The School of Odds
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Houston Astros v Athletics

2026-08-22 00:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros (Local)

Prediction 63.30%1.58fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.804%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.68%63.21%63.26%64.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.511.511.5668.97%66.33%66.23%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 36.70%2.72fair odd
EV +0.929%
Edge +0.338%
Kelly +0.531%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.68%36.79%36.74%38.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.592.602.7542.55%38.67%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Houston Astros (Local): 63.30%; Athletics (Visit): 36.70%. For Athletics (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.75, producing a positive expected value of +0.929%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10%EV -2.52%E -1.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90%EV +0.929%E +0.338%K +0.531%G +0.005%1.3%2026-08-20 22:19
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.15%E -2.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.906%E -0.335%K -0.533%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-20 21:33
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.15%E -2.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.27%E -0.473%K -0.753%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-20 21:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.15%E -2.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.27%E -0.473%K -0.753%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-20 21:20
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -3.15%E -2.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -2.01%E -0.752%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-20 21:29
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.42%E -2.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -2.37%E -0.892%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 00:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.05%E -3.37%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-20 22:10
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.05%E -3.37%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 00:34
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.05%E -3.37%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-20 21:53
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.05%E -3.37%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-20 22:00
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.95%E -4.73%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.95%E -4.73%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.95%E -4.73%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 22:00
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -1.25%E -0.804%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-20 22:34
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -3.15%E -2.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-21 00:45
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.42%E -2.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.47%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 21:39
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.05%E -3.37%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.84%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.05%E -3.37%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.84%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 21:54
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.95%E -4.73%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -3.84%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 00:35
Paddy Power🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.95%E -4.73%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -3.84%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 21:10
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.15%E -2.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 22:35
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.15%E -2.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 00:14
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.79%E -2.49%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-20 21:24
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.42%E -2.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 00:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.42%E -2.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 00:39
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.42%E -2.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 00:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.42%E -2.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 00:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.42%E -2.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 00:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.05%E -3.37%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 22:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.15%E -2.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.31%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 22:38
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.42%E -2.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -6.04%E -2.36%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 22:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.15%E -2.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-20 21:54
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.15%E -2.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-20 21:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.79%E -2.49%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 22:40
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.79%E -2.49%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 21:29
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.42%E -2.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 21:45
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.42%E -2.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.42%E -2.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:39
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.42%E -2.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:39
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.42%E -2.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:40
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.42%E -2.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.42%E -2.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:40
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.05%E -3.37%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 00:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.69%E -3.82%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 00:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.69%E -3.82%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 00:40
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.15%E -2.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.79%E -2.49%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 22:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.42%E -2.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 22:39
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.42%E -2.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 00:14
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.05%E -3.37%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 22:38
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.10%EV -8.22%E -5.67%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.90%EV -8.98%E -3.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-21 00:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -6.32%E -4.27%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -11.92%E -4.97%K -8.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 00:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -7.58%E -5.19%K -16.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-20 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-20 21:30
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-20 22:20
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.6%2026-08-21 01:10
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-08-21 01:10
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%10.0%2026-08-20 22:45

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