Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros v Athletics

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 00:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 4–0 Athletics

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros (Local)

Prediction 62.41%1.60fair odd
EV -0.760%
Edge -0.478%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.30%62.44%62.53%63.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.531.5968.97%65.28%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 37.59%2.66fair odd
EV -0.399%
Edge -0.151%
Kelly -0.242%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.25%37.56%37.47%39.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.552.6541.67%39.42%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 62.41%; Athletics (Visit): 37.59%. For Athletics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -0.399%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -0.760%E -0.478%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-21 23:24
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -0.760%E -0.478%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-21 23:55
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -0.760%E -0.478%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 23:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -0.760%E -0.478%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -4.53%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 23:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -0.760%E -0.478%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -4.53%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.38%E -0.876%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.80%E -4.08%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:59
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.38%E -0.876%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.80%E -4.08%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.80%EV -2.01%E -1.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.20%EV -0.399%E -0.151%K -0.242%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-21 14:44
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62%EV -2.01%E -1.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38%EV -1.15%E -0.438%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-21 23:20
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%EV -2.01%E -1.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%EV -1.53%E -0.583%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-21 22:35
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.01%E -1.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -3.41%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-21 23:54
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.01%E -1.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-21 22:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.01%E -1.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 17:10
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -2.63%E -1.69%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -1.53%E -0.583%K -0.943%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 23:19
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.63%E -1.69%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.41%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-22 00:10
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.63%E -1.69%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 23:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -2.63%E -1.69%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -5.66%E -2.26%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 23:28
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.63%E -1.69%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 00:04
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.26%E -2.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 11:09
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.26%E -2.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 23:35
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.26%E -2.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.26%E -2.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 23:59
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -3.26%E -2.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -6.41%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:40
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.88%E -2.52%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 00:07
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.88%E -2.52%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.79%E -2.74%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 23:20
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.88%E -2.52%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.79%E -2.74%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 11:09
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.88%E -2.52%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.79%E -2.74%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 11:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 15:05
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 07:49
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 14:24
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.29%E -2.10%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 18:55
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 14:25
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 19:00
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 00:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 00:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -5.13%E -3.37%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -0.399%E -0.151%K -0.242%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 00:10
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.13%E -3.37%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.91%E -1.94%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:35
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.81%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.81%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.81%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:15
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.81%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:15
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.81%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.81%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.81%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:15
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.81%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:15
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.81%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.81%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:15
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.75%E -3.81%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.38%E -4.25%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 00:10
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.38%E -4.25%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 00:09
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.38%E -4.25%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 23:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.38%E -4.25%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.38%E -4.25%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 21:45
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.38%E -4.25%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -6.38%E -4.25%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -9.42%E -3.91%K -6.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 23:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.00%E -4.70%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.00%E -4.70%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.00%E -4.70%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 23:15
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.50%E -6.55%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 23:58
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.50%E -6.55%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 23:59
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.50%E -6.55%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 23:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 62.62%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.38%-0.2%2026-08-22 00:04
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-08-22 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-08-21 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-08-22 00:10
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-21 20:15
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-21 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-08-22 00:10
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-08-22 00:10
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-08-22 00:10
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%2.9%2026-08-21 23:40