Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Athletics

2026-08-22 00:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Predicción 63.31%1.58momio equitativo
EV +3.20%
Ventaja +1.96%
Kelly +5.07%
Crecimiento +0.162%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.39%63.03%63.26%64.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.511.511.6368.97%66.19%66.23%61.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Athletics (Visitante)

Predicción 36.69%2.73momio equitativo
EV -0.940%
Ventaja -0.348%
Kelly -0.553%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.68%36.97%36.74%40.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.342.582.602.7042.74%38.74%38.46%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Houston Astros (Local): 63.31%; Athletics (Visitante): 36.69%. Para Houston Astros (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.58. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 1.63, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.20%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV +3.20%E +1.96%K +5.07%G +0.162%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -9.75%E -3.96%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-21 01:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV +1.30%E +0.811%K +2.16%G +0.028%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -14.15%E -6.05%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 02:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.23%E -0.791%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV -0.940%E -0.348%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.1%2026-08-21 02:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.940%E -0.348%K -0.553%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-21 01:20
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.940%E -0.348%K -0.553%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-20 21:33
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.31%E -0.486%K -0.773%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-20 21:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.31%E -0.486%K -0.773%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-20 21:20
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -1.67%E -0.625%K -0.996%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-21 02:00
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -2.04%E -0.764%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-20 21:29
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -3.14%E -1.19%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-21 00:45
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 22:35
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 00:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.44%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-20 21:54
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.44%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-20 21:54
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -3.77%E -2.48%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 01:12
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.77%E -2.48%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-20 21:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.77%E -2.48%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.44%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 22:40
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.77%E -2.48%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.44%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 21:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.77%E -2.48%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 22:39
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.40%E -2.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -2.41%E -0.905%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 00:35
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.40%E -2.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 21:39
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.40%E -2.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 00:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.40%E -2.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 00:39
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.40%E -2.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 00:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.40%E -2.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 00:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.40%E -2.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 00:39
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.40%E -2.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.44%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 21:45
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.40%E -2.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.44%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.40%E -2.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.44%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:39
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.40%E -2.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.44%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:39
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.40%E -2.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.44%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:40
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.40%E -2.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.44%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.40%E -2.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.44%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.40%E -2.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 22:39
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.40%E -2.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 00:14
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.940%E -0.348%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-21 01:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-20 22:10
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 00:34
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-20 21:53
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-20 22:00
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.88%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.88%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 21:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.44%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 00:40
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 22:38
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 22:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 01:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.67%E -3.80%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.44%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 00:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.67%E -3.80%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.44%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 00:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -6.30%E -4.26%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -11.95%E -4.98%K -8.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 00:15
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.93%E -4.72%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.93%E -4.72%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.93%E -4.72%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 22:00
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.93%E -4.72%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -3.88%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 00:35
Paddy Power🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.93%E -4.72%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -3.88%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 21:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -7.57%E -5.18%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -13.78%E -5.86%K -10.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-20 22:40
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.10%EV -8.20%E -5.65%K -18.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.90%EV -9.01%E -3.63%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-21 00:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%0.3%2026-08-21 01:55
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-08-21 01:50
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-20 21:30
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-20 22:20
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%5.3%2026-08-21 01:45
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%10.0%2026-08-20 22:45
Arbitraje (40 combinaciones) +1.64%1xBet 1.63 (62.4%) / Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 2.70 (37.6%)Ver las 40 combinaciones
Houston Astros (Local)Athletics (Visitante)Margen
1xBet🎯 1.63 (62.4%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 2.70 (37.6%)+1.64%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (62.4%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 2.70 (37.6%)+1.64%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (62.4%)Caesars🎯 2.70 (37.6%)+1.64%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (62.4%)BetAnything🎯 2.70 (37.6%)+1.64%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (62.3%)LowVig.ag🎯 2.69 (37.7%)+1.50%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (62.3%)BetOnline.ag🎯 2.69 (37.7%)+1.50%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (62.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (37.8%)+1.35%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (62.1%)GTbets🎯 2.67 (37.9%)+1.21%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (62.0%)FanDuel🎯 2.66 (38.0%)+1.07%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (61.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 2.65 (38.1%)+0.923%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (61.9%)Bovada🎯 2.65 (38.1%)+0.923%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (61.9%)BetMGM🎯 2.65 (38.1%)+0.923%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (61.9%)Bet Right🎯 2.65 (38.1%)+0.923%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (61.9%)888sport🎯 2.65 (38.1%)+0.923%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (61.9%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.65 (38.1%)+0.923%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (61.9%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.65 (38.1%)+0.923%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (61.8%)BetUS🎯 2.64 (38.2%)+0.778%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (61.7%)DraftKings🎯 2.63 (38.3%)+0.631%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (61.6%)Coral🎯 2.62 (38.4%)+0.485%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (61.6%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.62 (38.4%)+0.485%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (61.6%)SportsBet🎯 2.62 (38.4%)+0.485%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (61.6%)Paddy Power🎯 2.62 (38.4%)+0.485%
Marathon Bet🎯 1.60 (62.8%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 2.70 (37.2%)+0.465%
Marathon Bet🎯 1.60 (62.8%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 2.70 (37.2%)+0.465%
Marathon Bet🎯 1.60 (62.8%)Caesars🎯 2.70 (37.2%)+0.465%
Marathon Bet🎯 1.60 (62.8%)BetAnything🎯 2.70 (37.2%)+0.465%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (61.6%)MyBookie.ag🎯 2.61 (38.4%)+0.337%
Marathon Bet🎯 1.60 (62.7%)LowVig.ag🎯 2.69 (37.3%)+0.326%
Marathon Bet🎯 1.60 (62.7%)BetOnline.ag🎯 2.69 (37.3%)+0.326%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (61.5%)theScore Bet🎯 2.60 (38.5%)+0.189%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (61.5%)Betway🎯 2.60 (38.5%)+0.189%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (61.5%)TAB🎯 2.60 (38.5%)+0.189%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (61.5%)Fanatics🎯 2.60 (38.5%)+0.189%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (61.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.60 (38.5%)+0.189%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (61.5%)BetRivers🎯 2.60 (38.5%)+0.189%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (61.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.60 (38.5%)+0.189%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (61.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.60 (38.5%)+0.189%
1xBet🎯 1.63 (61.5%)Betr (AU)🎯 2.60 (38.5%)+0.189%
Marathon Bet🎯 1.60 (62.6%)Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (37.4%)+0.187%
Marathon Bet🎯 1.60 (62.5%)GTbets🎯 2.67 (37.5%)+0.047%

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