Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Athletics

Início: 2026-08-22 00:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 4–0 Athletics

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 62.41%1.60odd justa
EV -0.760%
Vantagem -0.478%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.30%62.44%62.53%63.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.451.531.531.5968.97%65.28%65.36%62.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Athletics (Visitante)

Previsão 37.59%2.66odd justa
EV -0.399%
Vantagem -0.151%
Kelly -0.242%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.25%37.56%37.47%39.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.542.552.6541.67%39.42%39.22%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Houston Astros (Local): 62.41%; Athletics (Visitante): 37.59%. Para Athletics (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.66. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.65, com valor esperado de -0.399%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -0.760%E -0.478%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-21 23:24
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -0.760%E -0.478%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-21 23:55
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -0.760%E -0.478%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 23:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -0.760%E -0.478%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -4.53%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 23:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -0.760%E -0.478%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -4.53%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.38%E -0.876%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.80%E -4.08%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:59
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.38%E -0.876%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.80%E -4.08%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.80%EV -2.01%E -1.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.20%EV -0.399%E -0.151%K -0.242%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-21 14:44
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62%EV -2.01%E -1.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38%EV -1.15%E -0.438%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-21 23:20
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%EV -2.01%E -1.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%EV -1.53%E -0.583%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-21 22:35
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.01%E -1.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -3.41%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-21 23:54
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.01%E -1.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-21 22:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.01%E -1.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 17:10
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -2.63%E -1.69%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -1.53%E -0.583%K -0.943%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 23:19
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.63%E -1.69%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.41%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-22 00:10
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.63%E -1.69%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 23:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -2.63%E -1.69%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -5.66%E -2.26%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 23:28
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.63%E -1.69%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 00:04
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.26%E -2.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 11:09
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.26%E -2.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 23:35
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.26%E -2.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.26%E -2.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 23:59
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -3.26%E -2.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -6.41%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:40
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.88%E -2.52%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 00:07
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.88%E -2.52%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.79%E -2.74%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 23:20
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.88%E -2.52%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.79%E -2.74%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 11:09
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.88%E -2.52%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.79%E -2.74%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 11:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 15:05
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 07:49
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 14:24
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.29%E -2.10%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 18:55
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 14:25
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 19:00
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 00:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.51%E -2.94%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 00:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -5.13%E -3.37%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -0.399%E -0.151%K -0.242%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 00:10
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.13%E -3.37%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.91%E -1.94%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:35
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.81%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.81%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.81%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:15
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.81%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:15
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.81%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.81%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.81%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:15
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.81%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:15
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.81%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.81%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:15
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.75%E -3.81%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.38%E -4.25%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 00:10
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.38%E -4.25%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 00:09
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.38%E -4.25%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 23:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.38%E -4.25%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.38%E -4.25%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 21:45
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.38%E -4.25%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -6.38%E -4.25%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -9.42%E -3.91%K -6.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 23:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.00%E -4.70%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.00%E -4.70%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.00%E -4.70%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 23:15
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.50%E -6.55%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 23:58
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.50%E -6.55%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 23:59
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.50%E -6.55%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 23:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.62%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.38%-0.2%2026-08-22 00:04
ProphetX◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-08-22 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-08-21 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-08-22 00:10
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-21 20:15
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-21 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-08-22 00:10
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-08-22 00:10
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-08-22 00:10
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%2.9%2026-08-21 23:40