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Detroit Tigers v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Detroit Tigers (Local)
Prediction 43.53%2.30fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.522%
Kelly -0.933%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%43.51%43.57%44.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.192.202.2747.17%45.70%45.45%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 56.47%1.77fair odd
EV -0.615%
Edge -0.349%
Kelly -0.809%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.78%56.49%56.43%57.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.701.701.7660.98%58.97%58.82%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.18%E -0.522%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.31%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-11 22:09 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.62%E -0.717%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.31%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-11 22:09 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.06%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 21:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.31%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-11 22:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.31%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-11 22:09 |
| BetUS | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.31%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| BetAnything | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.93%E -1.31%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.74%E -1.00%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 21:44 |
| DraftKings | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.93%E -1.31%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.13%E -3.05%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 19:40 |
| Everygame | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -3.36%E -1.51%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -0.615%E -0.349%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-11 19:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.36%E -1.51%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.18%E -0.674%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-11 21:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.36%E -1.51%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 20:34 |
| Bovada | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.80%E -1.72%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 22:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.31%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-11 21:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 13:35 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 15:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 21:19 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 20:34 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 15:30 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 20:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 22:09 |
| ReBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 20:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 18:24 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 22:09 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.13%E -3.05%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 21:24 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.13%E -3.05%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 21:24 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 21:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 21:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 21:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 21:24 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 22:09 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 14:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.26%E -3.77%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-11 22:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.83%E -4.14%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-11 21:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -5.10%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -2.87%E -1.67%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 21:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -5.10%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -2.87%E -1.67%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 21:35 |
| Caesars | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.10%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 20:53 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.10%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 20:39 |
| Casumo | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 21:34 |
| Unibet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 21:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 21:35 |
| betPARX | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 21:34 |
| Bally Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 21:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 21:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 22:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.97%E -2.77%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 20:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.97%E -2.77%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.97%E -2.77%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 21:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.97%E -2.77%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 21:34 |
| BetRivers | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.97%E -2.77%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 21:34 |
| NordicBet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.97%E -2.77%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Betsson | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.97%E -2.77%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 22:09 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 22:09 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 22:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 20:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 21:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 13:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.26%E -3.77%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-11 20:34 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.83%E -4.14%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-11 22:03 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.71%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-11 21:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -7.71%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -7.39%E -4.51%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-11 21:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 0.3% | 2026-07-11 22:09 |
| Novig | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69% | 0.3% | 2026-07-11 22:08 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-07-11 22:09 |
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-07-11 22:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-07-11 22:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 1.1% | 2026-07-11 22:09 |
| Kalshi | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-07-11 18:25 |
| Polymarket | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| BetOpenly | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 1.6% | 2026-07-11 22:09 |
| Smarkets | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.4% | 2026-07-11 22:09 |