La escuela de los momios

Detroit Tigers v Philadelphia Phillies

Inicio: 2026-07-11 22:11 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 2–4 Philadelphia Phillies

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 43.53%2.30momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.522%
Kelly -0.933%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.60%43.51%43.57%44.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.122.192.202.2747.17%45.70%45.45%44.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Predicción 56.47%1.77momio equitativo
EV -0.615%
Ventaja -0.349%
Kelly -0.809%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.78%56.49%56.43%57.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.701.701.7660.98%58.97%58.82%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.18%E -0.522%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.31%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-11 22:09
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.62%E -0.717%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.31%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 22:09
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.06%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 21:49
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.31%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 22:09
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.31%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 22:09
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.31%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 22:04
BetAnything2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.93%E -1.31%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.74%E -1.00%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 21:44
DraftKings2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.93%E -1.31%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.13%E -3.05%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 19:40
Everygame2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -3.36%E -1.51%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -0.615%E -0.349%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-11 19:29
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.36%E -1.51%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.18%E -0.674%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-11 21:44
Unibet (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.36%E -1.51%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 20:34
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.80%E -1.72%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 22:09
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.31%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-11 21:34
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 13:35
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 15:29
MyBookie.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 21:19
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 20:34
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 15:30
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 20:59
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 22:09
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:39
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 18:24
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 22:09
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.13%E -3.05%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 21:24
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.13%E -3.05%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 21:24
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 21:24
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 21:24
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 21:24
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 21:24
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 22:09
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 14:29
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.26%E -3.77%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 22:09
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.83%E -4.14%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 21:24
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -5.10%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -2.87%E -1.67%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 21:35
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -5.10%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -2.87%E -1.67%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 21:35
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.10%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:53
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.10%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 20:39
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:34
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:35
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:34
Bally Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:34
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:34
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 22:09
SportsBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.97%E -2.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:34
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.97%E -2.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 21:35
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.97%E -2.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 21:35
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.97%E -2.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 21:34
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.97%E -2.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 21:34
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.97%E -2.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 22:04
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.97%E -2.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 22:04
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 22:09
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 22:09
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 22:00
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 20:34
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 21:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 13:34
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.26%E -3.77%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 20:34
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.83%E -4.14%K -10.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 22:03
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.71%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 21:34
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -7.71%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -7.39%E -4.51%K -11.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 21:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-07-11 22:09
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%0.3%2026-07-11 22:08
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-07-11 22:09
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-11 22:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-11 22:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-07-11 22:09
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-07-11 18:25
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-07-11 22:05
BetOpenly2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%1.6%2026-07-11 22:09
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.4%2026-07-11 22:09