مدرسة الاحتمالات

Detroit Tigers v Philadelphia Phillies

البداية: 2026-07-11 22:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Detroit Tigers 2–4 Philadelphia Phillies

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Detroit Tigers (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.53%2.30السعر العادل
EV -1.18%
الأفضلية -0.522%
Kelly -0.933%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.27

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.60%43.51%43.57%44.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.122.192.202.2747.17%45.70%45.45%44.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)

التنبؤ 56.47%1.77السعر العادل
EV -0.615%
الأفضلية -0.349%
Kelly -0.809%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.76

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.78%56.49%56.43%57.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.641.701.701.7660.98%58.97%58.82%56.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.18%E -0.522%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.31%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-11 22:09
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.62%E -0.717%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.31%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 22:09
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.06%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 21:49
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.31%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 22:09
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.31%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 22:09
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.31%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 22:04
BetAnything2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.93%E -1.31%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.74%E -1.00%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 21:44
DraftKings2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.93%E -1.31%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.13%E -3.05%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 19:40
Everygame2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -3.36%E -1.51%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -0.615%E -0.349%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-11 19:29
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.36%E -1.51%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.18%E -0.674%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-11 21:44
Unibet (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.36%E -1.51%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 20:34
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.80%E -1.72%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 22:09
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.31%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-11 21:34
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 13:35
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 15:29
MyBookie.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 21:19
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 20:34
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 15:30
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 20:59
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 22:09
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:39
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 18:24
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 22:09
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.13%E -3.05%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 21:24
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.13%E -3.05%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 21:24
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 21:24
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 21:24
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 21:24
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 21:24
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 22:09
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 14:29
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.26%E -3.77%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 22:09
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.83%E -4.14%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 21:24
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -5.10%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -2.87%E -1.67%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 21:35
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -5.10%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -2.87%E -1.67%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 21:35
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.10%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:53
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.10%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 20:39
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:34
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:35
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:34
Bally Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:34
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:34
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 22:09
SportsBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.97%E -2.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:34
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.97%E -2.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 21:35
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.97%E -2.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 21:35
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.97%E -2.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 21:34
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.97%E -2.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 21:34
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.97%E -2.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 22:04
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.97%E -2.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 22:04
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 22:09
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 22:09
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 22:00
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 20:34
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 21:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 13:34
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.26%E -3.77%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 20:34
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.83%E -4.14%K -10.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 22:03
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.71%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 21:34
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -7.71%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -7.39%E -4.51%K -11.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 21:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-07-11 22:09
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%0.3%2026-07-11 22:08
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-07-11 22:09
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-11 22:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-11 22:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-07-11 22:09
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-07-11 18:25
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-07-11 22:05
BetOpenly2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%1.6%2026-07-11 22:09
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.4%2026-07-11 22:09