Language:English
Detroit Tigers v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Detroit Tigers (Local)
Prediction 55.45%1.80fair odd
EV -0.185%
Edge -0.103%
Kelly -0.232%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.48%55.49%55.27%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.711.711.8061.73%58.43%58.48%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 44.55%2.24fair odd
EV +0.232%
Edge +0.103%
Kelly +0.185%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%44.51%44.73%46.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.172.2550.00%46.15%46.08%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 55.45%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 44.55%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.232%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV +0.232%E +0.103%K +0.185%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 17:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.232%E +0.103%K +0.185%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 15:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -0.214%E -0.095%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 15:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.659%E -0.296%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.659%E -0.296%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 17:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.10%E -0.498%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 15:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 16:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 12:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 15:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 00:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 15:43 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 17:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.95%E -4.79%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 16:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.17%E -6.28%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 14:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.29%E -0.727%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 16:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -0.740%E -0.413%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.33%E -1.54%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.29%E -0.727%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -3.33%E -1.54%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.33%E -1.54%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 16:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -0.185%E -0.103%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -3.78%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.29%E -0.727%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.78%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.29%E -0.727%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.78%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 16:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 14:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 16:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 16:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 16:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 16:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 17:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 16:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.29%E -0.727%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 17:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.40%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 17:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.91%E -5.45%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 16:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 17:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18% | 2.5% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |