La scuola delle quote

Detroit Tigers v Miami Marlins

Inizio: 2026-04-11 17:11 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Casa)

Previsione 55.45%1.80quota equa
EV -0.185%
Vantaggio -0.103%
Kelly -0.232%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.48%55.49%55.27%57.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.711.711.8061.73%58.43%58.48%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miami Marlins (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.55%2.24quota equa
EV +0.232%
Vantaggio +0.103%
Kelly +0.185%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.41%44.51%44.73%46.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.172.172.2550.00%46.15%46.08%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV +0.232%E +0.103%K +0.185%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 17:04
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.232%E +0.103%K +0.185%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 15:45
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -0.214%E -0.095%K -0.172%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 15:44
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.659%E -0.296%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 17:05
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.659%E -0.296%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 17:04
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.10%E -0.498%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 15:20
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 16:05
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 12:30
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 15:14
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 15:20
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:30
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:30
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:30
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:29
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:29
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:30
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:30
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 00:04
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 15:43
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 17:05
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 17:05
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 17:05
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 17:04
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.95%E -4.79%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 16:44
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.17%E -6.28%K -16.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:45
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.29%E -0.727%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-11 17:00
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 16:39
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -0.740%E -0.413%K -0.937%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.33%E -1.54%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-11 16:45
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.29%E -0.727%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -3.33%E -1.54%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 17:05
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.33%E -1.54%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 16:39
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -0.185%E -0.103%K -0.232%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -3.78%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-11 16:50
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.29%E -0.727%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.78%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.29%E -0.727%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.78%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 17:00
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 16:04
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 14:44
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 16:49
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 16:35
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 16:34
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 16:34
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 17:09
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:59
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 17:00
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 17:00
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 16:40
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 17:00
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 17:00
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 16:59
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 17:05
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 16:59
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.29%E -0.727%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 17:10
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 17:09
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.40%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 17:10
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 17:10
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 17:09
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.91%E -5.45%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 17:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%0.9%2026-04-11 17:10
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-04-11 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-04-11 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-04-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-04-11 17:05
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-04-11 17:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-04-11 17:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-04-11 16:45
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%2.4%2026-04-11 17:09
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-04-11 17:10