Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers v Miami Marlins

Inicio: 2026-04-11 17:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 55.45%1.80momio equitativo
EV -0.185%
Ventaja -0.103%
Kelly -0.232%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.48%55.49%55.27%57.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.711.711.8061.73%58.43%58.48%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Predicción 44.55%2.24momio equitativo
EV +0.232%
Ventaja +0.103%
Kelly +0.185%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.41%44.51%44.73%46.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.172.2550.00%46.15%46.08%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Detroit Tigers (Local): 55.45%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 44.55%. Para Miami Marlins (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.24. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.232%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV +0.232%E +0.103%K +0.185%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 17:04
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.232%E +0.103%K +0.185%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 15:45
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -0.214%E -0.095%K -0.172%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 15:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.659%E -0.296%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.659%E -0.296%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 17:04
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.10%E -0.498%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 15:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 16:05
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 12:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 15:14
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 15:20
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:30
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:30
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:30
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:29
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:30
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:30
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 00:04
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 15:43
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 17:05
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 17:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.95%E -4.79%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 16:44
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.17%E -6.28%K -16.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.00%E -0.907%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:45
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.29%E -0.727%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-11 17:00
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 16:39
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -0.740%E -0.413%K -0.937%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.33%E -1.54%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-11 16:45
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.29%E -0.727%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -3.33%E -1.54%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 17:05
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.33%E -1.54%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 16:39
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -0.185%E -0.103%K -0.232%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -3.78%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-11 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.29%E -0.727%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.78%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.29%E -0.727%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.78%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 17:00
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 16:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 14:44
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 16:49
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 16:35
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 16:34
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 16:34
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 17:09
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 16:40
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 17:00
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 16:59
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 17:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.29%E -0.727%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 17:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 17:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.40%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 17:10
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 17:10
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 17:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.91%E -5.45%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 17:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%0.9%2026-04-11 17:10
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-04-11 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-04-11 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-04-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-04-11 17:05
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-04-11 17:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-04-11 17:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-04-11 16:45
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%2.4%2026-04-11 17:09
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-04-11 17:10