Language:English
Detroit Tigers v Kansas City Royals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Detroit Tigers (Local)
Prediction 69.80%1.43fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -3.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.18%69.72%69.87%70.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.361.361.4175.19%73.29%73.53%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kansas City Royals (Visit)
Prediction 30.20%3.31fair odd
EV +0.552%
Edge +0.166%
Kelly +0.237%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.07%30.28%30.13%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.163.203.3333.90%31.67%31.30%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 69.80%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 30.20%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.552%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV +0.552%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 2.5% | 2026-07-24 22:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -0.354%E -0.107%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-24 22:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -6.46%E -4.82%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -1.26%E -0.385%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-24 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -2.27%E -1.62%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-24 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -2.27%E -1.62%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-24 22:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-24 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-24 22:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-24 21:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-24 22:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-24 22:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-24 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-24 22:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.48%EV -1.58%E -1.12%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.52%EV -3.07%E -0.957%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-24 20:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -2.97%E -2.14%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-24 20:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-24 22:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-24 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-24 14:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-24 20:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-24 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-24 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-24 22:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-24 22:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-24 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-24 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-24 14:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-24 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-24 14:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 22:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 22:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.46%E -4.82%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-24 22:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-24 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.65%EV -2.97%E -2.14%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.35%EV -3.68%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-24 19:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -3.98%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-24 22:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.89%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.11%EV -3.98%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-24 20:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.98%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-24 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-24 22:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-24 14:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 22:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-24 15:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-24 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-24 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-24 22:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.03%EV -2.27%E -1.62%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.97%EV -5.79%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-24 22:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.27%E -1.62%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-24 14:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-24 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-24 22:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-24 22:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-24 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-24 14:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-24 20:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-24 22:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -8.20%E -2.70%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-24 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -8.20%E -2.70%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-24 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.27%E -1.62%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-24 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.27%E -1.62%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-24 14:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-24 21:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-24 22:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-24 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-24 22:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-24 22:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -10.92%E -3.70%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-24 22:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 71.05% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.95% | -0.2% | 2026-07-24 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-07-24 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-07-24 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-07-24 22:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-07-24 21:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-07-24 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.3% | 2026-07-24 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.94% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.06% | 1.4% | 2026-07-24 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03% | 2.8% | 2026-07-24 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52% | 7.4% | 2026-07-24 22:40 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.