La escuela de los momios

Detroit Tigers v Kansas City Royals

Inicio: 2026-07-24 22:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 2–1 Kansas City Royals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 69.80%1.43momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -3.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.18%69.72%69.87%70.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.361.361.4175.19%73.29%73.53%70.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 30.20%3.31momio equitativo
EV +0.552%
Ventaja +0.166%
Kelly +0.237%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.07%30.28%30.13%31.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.163.203.3333.90%31.67%31.30%30.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV +0.552%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%2.5%2026-07-24 22:39
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -0.354%E -0.107%K -0.154%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-24 22:40
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -6.46%E -4.82%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -1.26%E -0.385%K -0.555%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 21:55
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -2.27%E -1.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-24 22:00
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -2.27%E -1.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-24 22:35
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-24 22:20
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-24 22:20
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 21:55
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 22:35
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 21:55
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 22:35
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 69.48%EV -1.58%E -1.12%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.52%EV -3.07%E -0.957%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-24 20:55
Everygame1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -2.97%E -2.14%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-24 20:00
ReBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-24 22:35
theScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-24 14:45
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 14:40
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 20:24
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:20
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:20
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:20
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:20
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 14:40
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 14:45
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 14:44
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:24
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:25
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:25
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.46%E -4.82%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 22:29
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 22:40
BetUS1.39I 71.94%NM 69.65%EV -2.97%E -2.14%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.35%EV -3.68%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-24 19:04
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -3.98%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 22:35
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.89%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.11%EV -3.98%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-24 20:45
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.98%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 22:30
Unibet (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-24 22:35
Caesars1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 14:44
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:30
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:35
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 15:10
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 15:10
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 15:10
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 22:25
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.03%EV -2.27%E -1.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.97%EV -5.79%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-24 22:35
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.27%E -1.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-24 14:45
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 18:55
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 22:35
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 15:40
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 14:44
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 20:14
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 22:35
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -8.20%E -2.70%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 14:45
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -8.20%E -2.70%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 14:45
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.27%E -1.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.27%E -1.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 14:40
Dabble (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 21:05
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 22:39
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 22:40
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 22:28
betano_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 22:29
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -10.92%E -3.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 22:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.41I 70.92%NM 71.05%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.95%-0.2%2026-07-24 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-07-24 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-07-24 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-07-24 22:35
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-07-24 21:15
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-07-24 17:10
ProphetX1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-07-24 22:40
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 69.94%3.28I 30.49%NM 30.06%1.4%2026-07-24 22:40
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%2.8%2026-07-24 22:40
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%7.4%2026-07-24 22:40