Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Detroit Tigers v Kansas City Royals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-24 22:41 UTC

Score final : Detroit Tigers 2–1 Kansas City Royals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prévision 69.80%1.43cote équitable
EV -1.58%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -3.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.18%69.72%69.87%70.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.331.361.361.4175.19%73.29%73.53%70.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.20%3.31cote équitable
EV +0.552%
Avantage +0.166%
Kelly +0.237%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.07%30.28%30.13%31.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.163.203.3333.90%31.67%31.30%30.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Detroit Tigers (Local) : 69.80% ; Kansas City Royals (Visiteur) : 30.20%. Pour Kansas City Royals (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.31. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.33, soit une espérance positive de +0.552%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV +0.552%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%2.5%2026-07-24 22:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -0.354%E -0.107%K -0.154%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-24 22:40
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -6.46%E -4.82%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -1.26%E -0.385%K -0.555%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 21:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -2.27%E -1.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-24 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -2.27%E -1.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-24 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-24 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-24 22:20
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 21:55
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 21:55
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 22:35
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.48%EV -1.58%E -1.12%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.52%EV -3.07%E -0.957%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-24 20:55
Everygame🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -2.97%E -2.14%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-24 20:00
ReBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-24 22:35
theScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-24 14:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 14:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 20:24
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:20
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:20
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:20
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 14:40
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 14:45
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 14:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:24
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:25
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.46%E -4.82%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 22:29
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 22:40
BetUS🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.65%EV -2.97%E -2.14%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.35%EV -3.68%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-24 19:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -3.98%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 22:35
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.89%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.11%EV -3.98%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-24 20:45
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.98%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-24 22:35
Caesars🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 14:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 15:10
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 15:10
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 22:25
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.03%EV -2.27%E -1.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.97%EV -5.79%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-24 22:35
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.27%E -1.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-24 14:45
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 22:35
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 14:44
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 20:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 22:35
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -8.20%E -2.70%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 14:45
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -8.20%E -2.70%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 14:45
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.27%E -1.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.27%E -1.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 14:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 21:05
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 22:39
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 22:40
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 22:28
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 22:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -10.92%E -3.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.41I 70.92%NM 71.05%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.95%-0.2%2026-07-24 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-07-24 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-07-24 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-07-24 22:35
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-07-24 21:15
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-07-24 17:10
ProphetX1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-07-24 22:40
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 69.94%3.28I 30.49%NM 30.06%1.4%2026-07-24 22:40
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%2.8%2026-07-24 22:40
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%7.4%2026-07-24 22:40