The School of Odds

Detroit Tigers v Kansas City Royals

2026-07-25 17:11 UTC — MLB

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Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prediction 61.50%1.63fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.45%61.46%61.56%62.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.551.5967%65%65%63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Kansas City Royals (Visit)

Prediction 38.50%2.60fair odd
EV -0.677%
Edge -0.262%
Kelly -0.429%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%38.54%38.44%39.55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.352.472.482.5843%40%40%39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.21%E -1.39%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -1.83%E -0.718%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-24 19:35
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.21%E -1.39%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -2.22%E -0.873%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 19:35
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.21%E -1.39%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -2.22%E -0.873%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 19:35
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.83%E -1.79%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -0.677%E -0.262%K -0.429%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-24 19:40
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-24 20:15
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 18:39
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 19:49
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 17:55
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 18:40
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 19:55
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 19:34
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 19:40
DraftKings1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -4.14%E -1.66%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 19:35
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 19:35
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 19:35
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 19:35
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.29%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 19:40
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.29%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 19:35
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.29%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 19:35
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.29%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -6.07%E -2.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 19:39
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 19:40
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 19:40
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 19:40
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 18:40
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.30%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 18:40
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 18:40
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 19:35
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 19:39
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -7.13%E -4.72%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -9.53%E -4.06%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 19:35
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.75%E -5.16%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.53%E -4.06%K -7.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 19:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-24 20:20
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-24 20:25
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-07-24 20:30
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 60.89%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.11%10.2%2026-07-24 19:35