La escuela de los momios

Detroit Tigers v Kansas City Royals

Inicio: 2026-07-25 17:11 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 2–3 Kansas City Royals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 60.57%1.65momio equitativo
EV -0.058%
Ventaja -0.035%
Kelly -0.090%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.67%60.60%60.40%62.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.581.591.6566.67%63.16%62.89%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 39.43%2.54momio equitativo
EV +0.939%
Ventaja +0.367%
Kelly +0.602%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.97%39.40%39.60%41.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.402.402.5644.44%41.69%41.67%39.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV +0.939%E +0.367%K +0.602%G +0.006%2.4%2026-07-25 17:09
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV +0.151%E +0.059%K +0.098%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-25 17:10
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV +0.151%E +0.059%K +0.098%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-25 17:10
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.69%E -2.32%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.43%E -0.571%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-25 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.51%E -3.53%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.43%E -0.571%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 17:10
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.43%E -0.571%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 17:10
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.22%E -0.893%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-25 17:05
Caesars1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.22%E -0.893%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 17:04
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-25 17:00
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 17:05
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.72%E -4.36%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 17:10
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.93%E -5.22%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 17:10
betano_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.14%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 17:10
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.14%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 17:10
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -2.48%E -1.54%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -4.19%E -1.72%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-25 17:05
Bovada1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.58%E -1.89%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 17:08
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -0.058%E -0.035%K -0.090%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -4.98%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-25 16:05
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -4.98%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 17:04
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -4.98%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 16:20
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 17:05
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 17:10
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 17:05
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 16:25
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.48%E -1.54%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-25 16:20
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.48%E -1.54%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-25 15:35
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 17:05
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.69%E -2.32%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 17:09
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.69%E -2.32%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 17:05
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.69%E -2.32%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 17:05
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 17:05
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 17:05
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 17:05
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 17:05
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 14:55
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 15:45
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.14%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 16:59
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.76%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 17:00
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 17:05
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 17:05
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 17:04
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 17:05
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 16:20
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -3.69%E -2.32%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -6.95%E -2.94%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 17:05
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 17:05
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 16:25
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 17:05
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 17:05
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 17:05
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.69%E -2.32%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 15:40
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 17:05
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 17:10
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 17:10
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.48%E -1.54%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.13%E -3.49%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 15:45
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.48%E -1.54%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.13%E -3.49%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 15:45
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -5.51%E -3.53%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -8.52%E -3.67%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 17:05
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 17:10
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 14:49
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 16:44
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -6.72%E -4.36%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -11.28%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 17:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-07-25 17:10
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%0.9%2026-07-25 17:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-25 16:45
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-25 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-25 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-25 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-25 17:10
BetOpenly1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%2.6%2026-07-25 17:09
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%3.2%2026-07-25 17:10
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%8.4%2026-07-25 17:10