L’École des cotes

Detroit Tigers v Kansas City Royals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-25 17:11 UTC

Score final : Detroit Tigers 2–3 Kansas City Royals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prévision 60.57%1.65cote équitable
EV -0.058%
Avantage -0.035%
Kelly -0.090%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.67%60.60%60.40%62.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.581.591.6566.67%63.16%62.89%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kansas City Royals (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.43%2.54cote équitable
EV +0.939%
Avantage +0.367%
Kelly +0.602%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.97%39.40%39.60%41.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.402.402.5644.44%41.69%41.67%39.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV +0.939%E +0.367%K +0.602%G +0.006%2.4%2026-07-25 17:09
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV +0.151%E +0.059%K +0.098%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-25 17:10
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV +0.151%E +0.059%K +0.098%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-25 17:10
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.69%E -2.32%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.43%E -0.571%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-25 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.51%E -3.53%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.43%E -0.571%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 17:10
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.43%E -0.571%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 17:10
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.22%E -0.893%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-25 17:05
Caesars1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.22%E -0.893%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 17:04
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-25 17:00
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 17:05
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.72%E -4.36%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 17:10
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.93%E -5.22%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 17:10
betano_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.14%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 17:10
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.14%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 17:10
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -2.48%E -1.54%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -4.19%E -1.72%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-25 17:05
Bovada1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.58%E -1.89%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 17:08
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -0.058%E -0.035%K -0.090%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -4.98%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-25 16:05
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -4.98%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 17:04
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -4.98%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 16:20
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 17:05
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 17:10
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 17:05
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 16:25
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.48%E -1.54%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-25 16:20
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.48%E -1.54%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-25 15:35
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 17:05
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.69%E -2.32%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 17:09
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.69%E -2.32%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 17:05
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.69%E -2.32%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 17:05
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 17:05
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 17:05
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 17:05
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 17:05
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 14:55
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 15:45
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.14%E -6.10%K -18.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 16:59
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.76%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 17:00
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 17:05
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 17:05
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 17:04
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 17:05
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 16:20
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -3.69%E -2.32%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -6.95%E -2.94%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 17:05
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 17:05
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 16:25
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 17:05
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 17:05
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 17:05
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.69%E -2.32%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 15:40
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 17:05
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 17:10
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 17:10
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.48%E -1.54%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.13%E -3.49%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 15:45
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.48%E -1.54%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.13%E -3.49%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 15:45
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -5.51%E -3.53%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -8.52%E -3.67%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 17:05
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 17:10
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 14:49
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 16:44
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -6.72%E -4.36%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -11.28%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 17:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-07-25 17:10
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%0.9%2026-07-25 17:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-25 16:45
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-25 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-25 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-25 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-25 17:10
BetOpenly1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%2.6%2026-07-25 17:09
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%3.2%2026-07-25 17:10
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%8.4%2026-07-25 17:10