Language:English
Detroit Tigers v Kansas City Royals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Detroit Tigers (Local)
Prediction 54.16%1.85fair odd
EV +0.199%
Edge +0.107%
Kelly +0.234%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%54.03%54.26%55.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.761.751.8559.17%56.72%57.14%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kansas City Royals (Visit)
Prediction 45.84%2.18fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.673%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.70%45.97%45.74%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.092.102.1550.51%47.92%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 54.16%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 45.84%. For Detroit Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.846. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.850, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.199%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV +0.199%E +0.107%K +0.234%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV +0.199%E +0.107%K +0.234%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -5.11%E -2.47%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV +0.199%E +0.107%K +0.234%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -5.11%E -2.47%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.885%E -0.483%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.885%E -0.483%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-15 22:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.885%E -0.483%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.32%E -4.16%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 22:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.43%E -0.784%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-15 21:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.45%E -0.673%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-15 13:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 22:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 22:23 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.32%E -4.16%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.32%E -4.16%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.59%E -2.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 22:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -3.59%E -2.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -9.24%E -4.67%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -1.91%E -0.890%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 06:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 21:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 19:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 18:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.68%E -2.66%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.68%E -2.66%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.68%E -2.66%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.11%E -2.47%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 19:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.68%E -2.66%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.11%E -2.47%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 19:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.68%E -2.66%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.11%E -2.47%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.68%E -2.66%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.45%E -0.673%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-15 20:28 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.82%E -1.33%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.82%E -1.33%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 19:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 19:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 19:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 19:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 13:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.32%E -4.16%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 20:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.45%E -0.673%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.91%E -0.890%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 19:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 21:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 21:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 21:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 21:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 20:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.47%E -5.01%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 22:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-04-15 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-15 22:14 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-04-15 22:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94% | 2.4% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55% | 2.6% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |